PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Stadio Olimpico

Lazio 1–1 Bologna · Serie A

Lazio

DWLWL
1–1Historical match

Bologna

DWWWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lazio and Bologna drew 1–1.

Shots
1613
Shots on target
96
Expected goals
1.211.11
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lazio and Bologna drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Lazio – Bologna): shots 16–13, shots on target 9–6, expected goals 1.21–1.11, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lazio have a visible home split

moderate

Lazio's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.9 shots/match11.1 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Bologna's recent record differs from the season

weak

Bologna's last-five shots average is above their season average.

17 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots17 shots/match13.9 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Lazio show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Lazio's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.1 shots/match ▲ShotsLazio · Bologna13.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLazioBolognaBaseline
Shots11.1 shots/match13.9 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against13.3 shots/match10.1 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots13 shotsLazio 16 shots, Bologna 13 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots6 shotsLazio 9 shots, Bologna 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.21 xG1.11 xGLazio 1.21 xG, Bologna 1.11 xG
  • Possession47%53%Lazio 47%, Bologna 53%
  • Corners7 corners3 cornersLazio 7 corners, Bologna 3 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls18 foulsLazio 13 fouls, Bologna 18 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards3 cardsLazio 3 cards, Bologna 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nuno Tavares · Lazio · 12′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJens Odgaard · Bologna · 21′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJens Odgaard · Bologna · 71′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTommaso Pobega · Bologna · 34′ · 0.02 xG · on targetValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 52′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMario Gila Fuentes · Lazio · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Cancellieri · Lazio · 63′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJuan Miranda · Bologna · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedToma Bašić · Lazio · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJens Odgaard · Bologna · 14′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMattéo Guendouzi · Lazio · 73′ · 0.03 xG · on targetTijjani Noslin · Lazio · 74′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLewis Ferguson · Bologna · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDanilo Cataldi · Lazio · 5′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Castro · Bologna · 22′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMattia Zaccagni · Lazio · 38′ · 0.06 xG · on targetRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 1′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedToma Bašić · Lazio · 26′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 13′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAdam Marušić · Lazio · 62′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Cancellieri · Lazio · 78′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMattéo Guendouzi · Lazio · 62′ · 0.10 xG · on targetNadir Zortea · Bologna · 40′ · 0.11 xG · on targetJens Odgaard · Bologna · 30′ · 0.12 xG · on targetSantiago Castro · Bologna · 72′ · 0.13 xG · on targetJuan Miranda · Bologna · 43′ · 0.17 xG · on targetGustav Isaksen · Lazio · 15′ · 0.25 xG · on targetGustav Isaksen · Lazio · 38′ · 0.33 xG · goalJens Odgaard · Bologna · 40′ · 0.40 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lazio: 16 shots, 9 on target, 1.24 xG. Bologna: 13 shots, 6 on target, 1.18 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Gustav Isaksen · Lazio · 38′Jens Odgaard · Bologna · 40′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lazio 1.24 xG · Bologna 1.18 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Lazio
1Draws
3Bologna
Bologna — Lazio · Serie A5–0
Lazio — Bologna · Serie A3–0
Lazio — Bologna · Serie A1–2
Bologna — Lazio · Serie A1–0
Bologna — Lazio · Serie A0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lazio favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Bologna in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lazio14 matchesBologna14 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲ 1.64 goals/match
0.79 goals/match ▲Goals allowed14/140.86 goals/match
1.06 xG/matchExpected goals14/14▲ 1.44 xG/match
11.1 shots/matchShots14/14▲ 13.9 shots/match
4.43 shots/matchShots on target14/144.43 shots/match
50.5%Possession14/14● 57.1%
3.71 corners/matchCorners14/14● 5.57 corners/match
1.93 cards/matchCards14/142 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls14/1415.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 7 Dec 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLazioBologna
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headLazio — Bologna
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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