PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sun, 7 Dec 2025, 17:00 UTCFull timeStadio OlimpicoFull-time recap

Lazio

DWLWL
1–1Full-time recap

Bologna

DWWWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLazioBologna
Shots16 shots/match▲13 shots/match
Shots on target9 shots/match▲6 shots/match
Possession47%53%
Corners7 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match18 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Lazio's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: Bologna's last-five shots average is above their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Lazio have a visible home split

moderate

Lazio's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.9 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.9 shots/match11.1 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Bologna's recent record differs from the season

weak

Bologna's last-five shots average is above their season average.

17 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots17 shots/match13.9 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Lazio show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Lazio's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.1 shots/match▲ShotsLazio · Bologna13.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLazioBolognaBaseline
Shots11.1 shots/match13.9 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against13.3 shots/match10.1 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Lazio favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Bologna in 5 · 7 too close

1.14 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 14/14▲1.64 goals/match
0.79 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 14/140.86 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 14/14▲13.9 shots/match
13.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 14/14▲10.1 shots/match
4.43 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 14/144.43 shots/match
4.57 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 14/14▲3.43 shots/match
50.5%Possessionseason · 14/1457.1%
3.71 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/145.57 corners/match
4 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 14/144.07 corners/match
1.93 cards/matchCardsseason · 14/142 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1415.1 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
50%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/1443%
50%Scoring frequencyseason · 14/14▲79%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Lazio57.5
Bologna77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Lazio45.8
Bologna76.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Lazio48.3
Bologna83.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Lazio17.5
Bologna42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Lazio27.5
Bologna68.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Lazio27.5
Bologna82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Lazio31.2
Bologna76.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12 shots/matchShots5/5▲17 shots/match
6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/55.6 shots/match
53%Possession5/555.4%
5.4 corners/matchCorners5/55.6 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards5/51.4 cards/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls5/515.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2 goals/match
0.7 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/100.9 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.6 shots/matchShots10/10▲15 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target10/105.2 shots/match
49.2%Possession10/1059.4%
3.4 corners/matchCorners10/105.5 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards10/102 cards/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1015.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 14 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲1.64 goals/match
0.79 goals/match▲Goals allowed14/140.86 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.1 shots/matchShots14/14▲13.9 shots/match
4.43 shots/matchShots on target14/144.43 shots/match
50.5%Possession14/1457.1%
3.71 corners/matchCorners14/145.57 corners/match
1.93 cards/matchCards14/142 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls14/1415.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 8 matches
1.86 goals/match▲Goals scored7/81.63 goals/match
0.71 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/81 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.9 shots/match▲Shots7/811.3 shots/match
5.14 shots/match▲Shots on target7/84.25 shots/match
53.3%Possession7/857%
5.43 corners/matchCorners7/85 corners/match
1.86 cards/matchCards7/82.5 cards/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls7/816.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.89 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.89 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 7 Dec 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsLazioBologna
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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