PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sun, 7 Dec 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeUnipol DomusFull-time recap
1–0Full-time recap

AS Roma

WLWWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricCagliariAS Roma
Shots15 shots/match▲6 shots/match
Shots on target8 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Possession47%53%
Corners4 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls18 fouls/match16 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Cagliari's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: AS Roma have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Cagliari show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Cagliari's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.71 shots/match▲ShotsCagliari · AS Roma13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCagliariAS RomaBaseline
Shots9.71 shots/match13.1 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against12.7 shots/match10.5 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

AS Roma have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.6%▲PossessionCagliari · AS Roma58%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCagliariAS RomaBaseline
Possession44.6%58%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Cagliari favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · AS Roma in 9 · 5 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 14/14▲1.07 goals/match
1.36 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 14/14▲0.57 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
9.71 shots/matchShotsseason · 14/14▲13.1 shots/match
12.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 14/14▲10.5 shots/match
3.57 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 14/14▲4.79 shots/match
4.86 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 14/14▲3.93 shots/match
44.6%Possessionseason · 14/1458%
3.43 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/145.29 corners/match
5.21 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 14/14▲3.5 corners/match
2.57 cards/matchCardsseason · 14/14▲2.07 cards/match
16.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1414.6 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
21%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/14▲43%
64%Scoring frequencyseason · 14/1464%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Cagliari22.5
AS Roma82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Cagliari25
AS Roma59.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Cagliari29.2
AS Roma81.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Cagliari12.5
AS Roma22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Cagliari88.8
AS Roma66.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Cagliari15
AS Roma77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Cagliari36.9
AS Roma71.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/51 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲11.8 shots/match
4.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54 shots/match
42.8%Possession5/556%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards5/53 cards/match
17.8 fouls/matchFouls5/514.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.2 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.7 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8.5 shots/matchShots10/10▲12.5 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.7 shots/match
44.7%Possession10/1056.8%
3.4 corners/matchCorners10/105.2 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards10/102.4 cards/match
16.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 14 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲1.07 goals/match
1.36 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲0.57 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.71 shots/matchShots14/14▲13.1 shots/match
3.57 shots/matchShots on target14/14▲4.79 shots/match
44.6%Possession14/1458%
3.43 corners/matchCorners14/145.29 corners/match
2.57 cards/matchCards14/142.07 cards/match
16.4 fouls/matchFouls14/1414.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 7 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored7/71.14 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲0.57 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10 shots/matchShots7/7▲12 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲5.14 shots/match
46.1%Possession7/757.1%
3.71 corners/matchCorners7/75.29 corners/match
2.57 cards/matchCards7/72.29 cards/match
17.3 fouls/matchFouls7/716.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.88 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.76 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 7 Dec 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsCagliariAS Roma
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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