Serie A · 2025Stadio Giovanni Zini

Cremonese 2–0 Lecce · Serie A

2–0Historical match

Lecce

LWDLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cremonese won 2–0.

Shots
119
Shots on target
41
Expected goals
2.080.92
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cremonese beat Lecce 2–0. Recorded in this match (Cremonese – Lecce): shots 11–9, shots on target 4–1, expected goals 2.08–0.92, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cremonese's recent record differs from the season

weak

Cremonese's last-five shots average is above their season average.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season8.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match8.5 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cremonese show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Cremonese's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

8.5 shots/match ▲ShotsCremonese · Lecce9.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCremoneseLecceBaseline
Shots8.5 shots/match9.5 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against16.5 shots/match12.4 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots9 shotsCremonese 11 shots, Lecce 9 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotCremonese 4 shots, Lecce 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.08 xG0.92 xGCremonese 2.08 xG, Lecce 0.92 xG
  • Possession49%51%Cremonese 49%, Lecce 51%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersCremonese 5 corners, Lecce 5 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls12 foulsCremonese 15 fouls, Lecce 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsCremonese 1 card, Lecce 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Filippo Terracciano · Cremonese · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKonan N'Dri · Lecce · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFilippo Terracciano · Cremonese · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMedon Berisha · Lecce · 7′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMedon Berisha · Lecce · 32′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLassana Coulibaly · Lecce · 8′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMedon Berisha · Lecce · 68′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Bianchetti · Cremonese · 72′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlessio Zerbin · Cremonese · 75′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKonan N'Dri · Lecce · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMartín Payero · Cremonese · 35′ · 0.07 xG · on targetFederico Bonazzoli · Cremonese · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Pierotti · Lecce · 14′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedFederico Bonazzoli · Cremonese · 48′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedFilippo Terracciano · Cremonese · 45′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedFrancesco Camarda · Lecce · 69′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMartín Payero · Cremonese · 66′ · 0.21 xG · on targetNikola Štulić · Lecce · 2′ · 0.44 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Sanabria · Cremonese · 78′ · 0.54 xG · goalFederico Bonazzoli · Cremonese · 53′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Cremonese: 11 shots, 4 on target, 2.10 xG. Lecce: 9 shots, 1 on target, 0.90 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Federico Bonazzoli · Cremonese · 53′Antonio Sanabria · Cremonese · 78′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Cremonese 2.10 xG · Lecce 0.90 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Cremonese
1Draws
2Lecce
Cremonese — Lecce · Serie A0–2
Lecce — Cremonese · Serie A1–1
Lecce — Cremonese · Serie B2–1
Cremonese — Lecce · Serie B3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cremonese favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Lecce in 6

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cremonese14 matchesLecce14 matches
1.29 goals/match ▲Goals scored14/140.71 goals/match
1.21 goals/match ▲Goals allowed14/141.36 goals/match
1.07 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/140.77 xG/match
8.5 shots/matchShots14/14▲ 9.5 shots/match
3.36 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/142.71 shots/match
45.7% ●Possession14/1444.9%
3.43 corners/matchCorners14/14● 5.07 corners/match
2.07 cards/matchCards14/141.79 cards/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls14/1412.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 7 Dec 2025, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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