PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Mon, 1 Dec 2025, 19:45 UTCFull timeStadio Renato Dall'AraFull-time recap

Bologna

DDWWW
1–3Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBolognaCremonese
Shots29 shots/match▲10 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match▲5 shots/match
Possession65%35%
Corners13 corners/match8 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match12 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match▲2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Cremonese's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Cremonese's last-five shots average is above their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Cremonese show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Cremonese's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.9 shots/match▲ShotsBologna · Cremonese8.31 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBolognaCremoneseBaseline
Shots13.9 shots/match8.31 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against9.69 shots/match17.1 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Cremonese's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cremonese's last-five shots average is above their season average.

10.4 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season8.31 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match8.31 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bologna have a visible home split

moderate

Bologna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.3 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season13.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.3 shots/match13.9 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Bologna favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Cremonese in 0 · 5 too close

1.69 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 13/131.23 goals/match
0.85 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 13/131.31 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13.9 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 13/138.31 shots/match
9.69 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 13/1317.1 shots/match
4.31 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 13/133.31 shots/match
3 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 13/135.46 shots/match
57.4%Possessionseason · 13/1345.5%
5.77 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/133.31 corners/match
3.85 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 13/136.85 corners/match
1.92 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 13/132.15 cards/match
14.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1311.9 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
46%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/1323%
77%Scoring frequencyseason · 13/1377%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Bologna77.5
Cremonese32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Bologna77.5
Cremonese30.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Bologna85
Cremonese15.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Bologna47.5
Cremonese2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Bologna65
Cremonese42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Bologna92.5
Cremonese12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Bologna78.8
Cremonese16.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.4 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
16.6 shots/match▲Shots5/510.4 shots/match
4.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.6 shots/match
59%Possession5/548.8%
5.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match
1.2 cards/matchCards5/51.6 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls5/512.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2.1 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.1 goals/match
0.9 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.1 shots/match▲Shots10/108.7 shots/match
5.2 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.2 shots/match
60%Possession10/1045.9%
6 corners/matchCorners10/103.5 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards10/102.1 cards/match
15.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 13 matches
1.69 goals/match▲Goals scored13/131.23 goals/match
0.85 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/131.31 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.9 shots/match▲Shots13/138.31 shots/match
4.31 shots/match▲Shots on target13/133.31 shots/match
57.4%Possession13/1345.5%
5.77 corners/matchCorners13/133.31 corners/match
1.92 cards/matchCards13/132.15 cards/match
14.9 fouls/matchFouls13/1311.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 7 matches
1.67 goals/match▲Goals scored6/71.29 goals/match
0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/71.14 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
17.3 shots/match▲Shots6/78 shots/match
4.67 shots/match▲Shots on target6/73 shots/match
57.2%Possession6/744.1%
6.33 corners/matchCorners6/73.29 corners/match
1.33 cards/matchCards6/72.14 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls6/712 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

9.24 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.24 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 1 Dec 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsBolognaCremonese
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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