UEFA Champions League · 2025Wed, 10 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeJan Breydel StadiumFull-time recap
03Full-time recap

Arsenal

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This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricClub Brugge KVArsenal
Shots18 shots/match20 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match11 shots/match
Expected goals1.06 xG/match2.97 xG/match
Possession49%51%
Corners1 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Aleksandar Stanković · Club Brugge KV · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNoni Madueke · Arsenal · 25′ · 0.02 xG · goalGabriel Martinelli · Arsenal · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNoni Madueke · Arsenal · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetChristos Tzolis · Club Brugge KV · 55′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAleksandar Stanković · Club Brugge KV · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Tresoldi · Club Brugge KV · 24′ · 0.03 xG · on targetCarlos Forbs · Club Brugge KV · 34′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNoni Madueke · Arsenal · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Martinelli · Arsenal · 56′ · 0.03 xG · goalMyles Lewis-Skelly · Arsenal · 21′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Forbs · Club Brugge KV · 37′ · 0.04 xG · on targetViktor Gyökeres · Arsenal · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKaye Furo · Club Brugge KV · 73′ · 0.04 xG · on targetBjorn Meijer · Club Brugge KV · 75′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKyriani Sabbe · Club Brugge KV · 86′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAleksandar Stanković · Club Brugge KV · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMartin Ødegaard · Arsenal · 3′ · 0.05 xG · on targetBrandon Mechele · Club Brugge KV · 67′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedChristos Tzolis · Club Brugge KV · 71′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEthan Nwaneri · Arsenal · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAleksandar Stanković · Club Brugge KV · 44′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAleksandar Stanković · Club Brugge KV · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedChristos Tzolis · Club Brugge KV · 7′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAleksandar Stanković · Club Brugge KV · 39′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedEthan Nwaneri · Arsenal · 90′ · 0.08 xG · on targetChristos Tzolis · Club Brugge KV · 43′ · 0.09 xG · on targetGabriel Jesus · Arsenal · 72′ · 0.09 xG · on targetPiero Hincapié · Arsenal · 29′ · 0.11 xG · on targetGabriel Jesus · Arsenal · 79′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedViktor Gyökeres · Arsenal · 32′ · 0.14 xG · on targetGabriel Jesus · Arsenal · 85′ · 0.16 xG · on targetBen White · Arsenal · 53′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedPiero Hincapié · Arsenal · 21′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedViktor Gyökeres · Arsenal · 22′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedHans Vanaken · Club Brugge KV · 35′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedMartín Zubimendi · Arsenal · 90′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedNoni Madueke · Arsenal · 47′ · 0.91 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Club Brugge KV: 18 shots, 7 on target, 1.07 xG. Arsenal: 20 shots, 11 on target, 2.91 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Noni Madueke · Arsenal · 25′Noni Madueke · Arsenal · 47′Gabriel Martinelli · Arsenal · 56′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Club Brugge KV 1.07 xG · Arsenal 2.91 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Club Brugge KV's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Club Brugge KV's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Club Brugge KV's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Club Brugge KV's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season2.1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match2.1 goals/match1.58 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Club Brugge KV have a visible home split

moderate

Club Brugge KV's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

21.8 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season15.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots21.8 shots/match15.1 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Arsenal show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Arsenal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.1 shots/matchShotsClub Brugge KV · Arsenal15.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricClub Brugge KVArsenalBaseline
Shots15.1 shots/match15.3 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against17.1 shots/match11.2 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Club Brugge KV favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Arsenal in 10 · 4 too close

2.1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 10/62.83 goals/match
1.9 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 10/60.17 goals/match
1.38 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 6/62.32 xG/match
2.62 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 6/60.62 xG/match
15.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 10/615.3 shots/match
17.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 10/611.2 shots/match
6.5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 10/67.67 shots/match
5.7 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 10/62.67 shots/match
49.4%Possessionseason · 10/653.7%
4.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 10/64.33 corners/match
5.1 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 10/62.83 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
8.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/611.3 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
20%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/683%
70%Scoring frequencyseason · 10/6100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Club Brugge KV48.8
Arsenal69
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Club Brugge KV73.6
Arsenal84.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Club Brugge KV18.9
Arsenal88.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Club Brugge KV67.9
Arsenal60.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Club Brugge KV8.3
Arsenal51.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Club Brugge KV42.9
Arsenal36.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Club Brugge KV48.8
Arsenal61.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/53 goals/match
3 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.2 goals/match
1.02 xG/matchExpected goals5/52.52 xG/match
9.6 shots/matchShots5/516.2 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/58 shots/match
43.4%Possession5/552%
1.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.6 fouls/matchFouls5/510.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 6 matches
2.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/62.83 goals/match
1.9 goals/matchGoals allowed10/60.17 goals/match
1.38 xG/matchExpected goals6/62.32 xG/match
15.1 shots/matchShots10/615.3 shots/match
6.5 shots/matchShots on target10/67.67 shots/match
49.4%Possession10/653.7%
4.5 corners/matchCorners10/64.33 corners/match
Cards0/0
8.2 fouls/matchFouls10/611.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

10 / 6 matches
2.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/62.83 goals/match
1.9 goals/matchGoals allowed10/60.17 goals/match
1.38 xG/matchExpected goals6/62.32 xG/match
15.1 shots/matchShots10/615.3 shots/match
6.5 shots/matchShots on target10/67.67 shots/match
49.4%Possession10/653.7%
4.5 corners/matchCorners10/64.33 corners/match
Cards0/0
8.2 fouls/matchFouls10/611.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 3 matches
3.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/32.67 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/30 goals/match
2.12 xG/matchExpected goals3/32.01 xG/match
21.8 shots/matchShots5/315 shots/match
9.6 shots/matchShots on target5/38.33 shots/match
49.8%Possession5/356.7%
4.6 corners/matchCorners5/34.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
8.6 fouls/matchFouls5/38 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples10 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 11 Dec 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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