PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025

FCV Dender 1–5 Club Brugge KV · Belgian Pro League

1–5Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Club Brugge KV won 1–5.

Shots
623
Shots on target
19
Expected goals
1.073.43
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Club Brugge KV beat FCV Dender 5–1. Recorded in this match (FCV Dender – Club Brugge KV): shots 6–23, shots on target 1–9, expected goals 1.07–3.43, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FCV Dender's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FCV Dender's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match0.83 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Club Brugge KV show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Club Brugge KV's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.2 shots/match ▲ShotsFCV Dender · Club Brugge KV17.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFCV DenderClub Brugge KVBaseline
Shots10.2 shots/match17.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against15.5 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Club Brugge KV have recorded the higher season possession share.

46.3%PossessionFCV Dender · Club Brugge KV● 62.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFCV DenderClub Brugge KVBaseline
Possession46.3%62.7%48.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots23 shotsFCV Dender 6 shots, Club Brugge KV 23 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot9 shotsFCV Dender 1 shot, Club Brugge KV 9 shots
  • Expected goals1.07 xG3.43 xGFCV Dender 1.07 xG, Club Brugge KV 3.43 xG
  • Possession38%62%FCV Dender 38%, Club Brugge KV 62%
  • Corners0 corners3 cornersFCV Dender 0 corners, Club Brugge KV 3 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls6 foulsFCV Dender 6 fouls, Club Brugge KV 6 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Luc Marijnissen · FCV Dender · 18′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAleksandar Stanković · Club Brugge KV · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChristos Tzolis · Club Brugge KV · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Tresoldi · Club Brugge KV · 59′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAleksandar Stanković · Club Brugge KV · 64′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHugo Vetlesen · Club Brugge KV · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRomeo Vermant · Club Brugge KV · 73′ · 0.04 xG · goalChristos Tzolis · Club Brugge KV · 5′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMalcolm Viltard · FCV Dender · 43′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRaphael Onyedika · Club Brugge KV · 44′ · 0.05 xG · on targetHugo Vetlesen · Club Brugge KV · 80′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedChristos Tzolis · Club Brugge KV · 51′ · 0.07 xG · goalRoman Kvet · FCV Dender · 54′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Forbs · Club Brugge KV · 22′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedChristos Tzolis · Club Brugge KV · 45′ · 0.09 xG · goalHans Vanaken · Club Brugge KV · 28′ · 0.10 xG · on targetJoel Ordóñez · Club Brugge KV · 37′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedDavid Toshevski · FCV Dender · 42′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAleksandar Stanković · Club Brugge KV · 47′ · 0.13 xG · on targetAleksandar Stanković · Club Brugge KV · 83′ · 0.13 xG · on targetChristos Tzolis · Club Brugge KV · 90′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedBruny Nsimba · FCV Dender · 13′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedHans Vanaken · Club Brugge KV · 14′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedBrandon Mechele · Club Brugge KV · 47′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedAleksandar Stanković · Club Brugge KV · 90′ · 0.21 xG · goalHugo Vetlesen · Club Brugge KV · 87′ · 0.40 xG · off target or blockedChristos Tzolis · Club Brugge KV · 90′ · 0.59 xG · off target or blockedBruny Nsimba · FCV Dender · 23′ · 0.63 xG · goalRomeo Vermant · Club Brugge KV · 69′ · 0.66 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FCV Dender: 6 shots, 1 on target, 1.06 xG. Club Brugge KV: 23 shots, 9 on target, 3.39 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Bruny Nsimba · FCV Dender · 23′Christos Tzolis · Club Brugge KV · 45′Christos Tzolis · Club Brugge KV · 51′Romeo Vermant · Club Brugge KV · 69′Romeo Vermant · Club Brugge KV · 73′Aleksandar Stanković · Club Brugge KV · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FCV Dender 1.06 xG · Club Brugge KV 3.39 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0FCV Dender
0Draws
3Club Brugge KV
Club Brugge KV — FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League2–1
Club Brugge KV — FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League4–1
FCV Dender — Club Brugge KV · Belgian Pro League1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FCV Dender favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Club Brugge KV in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FCV Dender18 matchesClub Brugge KV20 matches
0.83 goals/matchGoals scored18/20▲ 1.8 goals/match
1.78 goals/matchGoals allowed18/20▲ 1 goal/match
1.06 xG/matchExpected goals18/18▲ 1.59 xG/match
10.2 shots/matchShots18/20▲ 17.4 shots/match
3.61 shots/matchShots on target18/20▲ 5.5 shots/match
46.3%Possession18/20● 62.7%
2.94 corners/matchCorners18/20● 6.45 corners/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls18/209.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 14 Dec 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFCV DenderClub Brugge KV
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headFCV Dender — Club Brugge KV
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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