PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Stade Saint-Symphorien

Metz 2–3 Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 1

Metz

WWLLL
2–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paris Saint-Germain won 2–3.

Shots
914
Shots on target
59
Expected goals
0.621.85
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paris Saint Germain beat Metz 3–2. Recorded in this match (Metz – Paris Saint Germain): shots 9–14, shots on target 5–9, expected goals 0.62–1.85, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Paris Saint Germain show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Paris Saint Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

8.94 shots/match ▲ShotsMetz · Paris Saint Germain17.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMetzParis Saint GermainBaseline
Shots8.94 shots/match17.7 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against14.8 shots/match8.69 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metz's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Metz's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.06 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.06 goals/match1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Paris Saint Germain have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.8%PossessionMetz · Paris Saint Germain● 69.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 20.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricMetzParis Saint GermainBaseline
Possession48.8%69.7%48.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots14 shotsMetz 9 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 14 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots9 shotsMetz 5 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 9 shots
  • Expected goals0.62 xG1.85 xGMetz 0.62 xG, Paris Saint-Germain 1.85 xG
  • Possession41%59%Metz 41%, Paris Saint-Germain 59%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersMetz 4 corners, Paris Saint-Germain 4 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls10 foulsMetz 10 fouls, Paris Saint-Germain 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardMetz 2 cards, Paris Saint-Germain 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Habibou Diallo · Metz · 32′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKang-in Lee · Paris Saint Germain · 54′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKoffi Kouao · Metz · 62′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMaxime Colin · Metz · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDésiré Doué · Paris Saint Germain · 71′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Mbaye · Paris Saint Germain · 71′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGauthier Hein · Metz · 76′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKang-in Lee · Paris Saint Germain · 27′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedQuentin Ndjantou · Paris Saint Germain · 46′ · 0.04 xG · on targetGeorgiy Tsitaishvili · Metz · 81′ · 0.05 xG · goalKang-in Lee · Paris Saint Germain · 36′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 81′ · 0.06 xG · on targetGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint Germain · 31′ · 0.07 xG · goalHabibou Diallo · Metz · 42′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMaxime Colin · Metz · 62′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint Germain · 17′ · 0.09 xG · on targetJessy Deminguet · Metz · 42′ · 0.09 xG · goalGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint Germain · 52′ · 0.11 xG · on targetGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint Germain · 53′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedHabibou Diallo · Metz · 59′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedDésiré Doué · Paris Saint Germain · 63′ · 0.52 xG · goalQuentin Ndjantou · Paris Saint Germain · 39′ · 0.62 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Metz: 9 shots, 5 on target, 0.60 xG. Paris Saint Germain: 14 shots, 9 on target, 1.87 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Jessy Deminguet · Metz · 42′Georgiy Tsitaishvili · Metz · 81′Gonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint Germain · 31′Quentin Ndjantou · Paris Saint Germain · 39′Désiré Doué · Paris Saint Germain · 63′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Metz 0.60 xG · Paris Saint Germain 1.87 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Metz
0Draws
4Paris Saint-Germain
Metz — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 10–2
Paris Saint-Germain — Metz · Ligue 13–1
Paris Saint-Germain — Metz · Ligue 15–0
Metz — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Metz favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Paris Saint-Germain in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Metz16 matchesParis Saint-Germain16 matches
1.06 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲ 2.19 goals/match
2.31 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲ 0.88 goals/match
1.13 xG/matchExpected goals16/16▲ 1.83 xG/match
8.94 shots/matchShots16/16▲ 17.7 shots/match
3.19 shots/matchShots on target16/16▲ 6.88 shots/match
48.8%Possession16/16● 69.7%
4.13 corners/matchCorners16/16● 6.25 corners/match
1.69 cards/matchCards16/161.19 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls16/1610.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Dec 2025, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMetzParis Saint-Germain
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headMetz — Paris Saint-Germain
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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