Ligue 1 · 2025Roazhon Park

Stade Rennais 3–1 Stade Brestois · Ligue 1

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Stade Rennais won 3–1.

Shots
914
Shots on target
57
Expected goals
2.230.82
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rennes beat Stade Brestois 29 3–1. Recorded in this match (Rennes – Stade Brestois 29): shots 9–14, shots on target 5–7, expected goals 2.23–0.82, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Rennes have a visible home split

moderate

Rennes's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.8 shots/match12.4 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Rennes's recent record differs from the season

weak

Rennes's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.2 shots/match12.4 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Stade Brestois 29 show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Stade Brestois 29's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.4 shots/match ▲ShotsRennes · Stade Brestois 2912.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRennesStade Brestois 29Baseline
Shots12.4 shots/match12.2 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against14.8 shots/match12.3 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots14 shotsStade Rennais 9 shots, Stade Brestois 14 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots7 shotsStade Rennais 5 shots, Stade Brestois 7 shots
  • Expected goals2.23 xG0.82 xGStade Rennais 2.23 xG, Stade Brestois 0.82 xG
  • Possession61%39%Stade Rennais 61%, Stade Brestois 39%
  • Corners5 corners7 cornersStade Rennais 5 corners, Stade Brestois 7 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls22 foulsStade Rennais 16 fouls, Stade Brestois 22 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsStade Rennais 2 cards, Stade Brestois 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Daouda Guindo · Stade Brestois 29 · 2′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMama Baldé · Stade Brestois 29 · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEsteban Lepaul · Rennes · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPathé Mboup · Stade Brestois 29 · 76′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRemy Labeau Lascary · Stade Brestois 29 · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMama Baldé · Stade Brestois 29 · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMama Baldé · Stade Brestois 29 · 1′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMama Baldé · Stade Brestois 29 · 28′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKamory Doumbia · Stade Brestois 29 · 71′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRomain Del Castillo · Stade Brestois 29 · 70′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSoumaila Coulibaly · Stade Brestois 29 · 82′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRemy Labeau Lascary · Stade Brestois 29 · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetEsteban Lepaul · Rennes · 37′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Rouault · Rennes · 59′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMousa Tamari · Rennes · 59′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMousa Tamari · Rennes · 28′ · 0.11 xG · on targetPathé Mboup · Stade Brestois 29 · 3′ · 0.14 xG · on targetKamory Doumbia · Stade Brestois 29 · 4′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedSeko Fofana · Rennes · 90′ · 0.14 xG · on targetMama Baldé · Stade Brestois 29 · 13′ · 0.17 xG · goalMohamed Kader Meite · Rennes · 87′ · 0.25 xG · goalMousa Tamari · Rennes · 25′ · 0.48 xG · goalEsteban Lepaul · Rennes · 24′ · 0.91 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Rennes: 9 shots, 5 on target, 2.17 xG. Stade Brestois 29: 14 shots, 7 on target, 0.83 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Esteban Lepaul · Rennes · 24′Mousa Tamari · Rennes · 25′Mohamed Kader Meite · Rennes · 87′Mama Baldé · Stade Brestois 29 · 13′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Rennes 2.17 xG · Stade Brestois 29 0.83 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Stade Rennais
2Draws
2Stade Brestois
Stade Rennais — Stade Brestois · Ligue 11–2
Stade Brestois — Stade Rennais · Ligue 11–1
Stade Rennais — Stade Brestois · Ligue 14–5
Stade Brestois — Stade Rennais · Ligue 10–0
Stade Brestois — Stade Rennais · Ligue 11–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stade Rennais favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Stade Brestois in 2 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stade Rennais16 matchesStade Brestois16 matches
1.69 goals/match ▲Goals scored16/161.31 goals/match
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed16/161.69 goals/match
1.51 xG/matchExpected goals16/161.51 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots16/1612.2 shots/match
4.56 shots/match ▲Shots on target16/164.06 shots/match
50.4% ●Possession16/1643.9%
5.31 corners/match ●Corners16/164.38 corners/match
2.13 cards/matchCards16/161.88 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls16/1613.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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