PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Sat, 6 Dec 2025, 20:05 UTCFull timeParc des PrincesFull-time recap
5–0Full-time recap

Rennes

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This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricParis Saint GermainRennes
Shots20 shots/match▲6 shots/match
Shots on target9 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Possession66%34%
Corners8 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match5 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match▲3 cards/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Vitinha · Paris Saint Germain · 9′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEsteban Lepaul · Rennes · 28′ · 0.03 xG · on targetValentin Rongier · Rennes · 28′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoão Neves · Paris Saint Germain · 51′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMousa Tamari · Rennes · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPrzemysław Frankowski · Rennes · 1′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSenny Mayulu · Paris Saint Germain · 49′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBreel Embolo · Rennes · 54′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Paris Saint Germain · 70′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Mbaye · Paris Saint Germain · 88′ · 0.04 xG · goalKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 51′ · 0.05 xG · on targetBradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 58′ · 0.05 xG · on targetValentin Rongier · Rennes · 33′ · 0.06 xG · on targetKang-in Lee · Paris Saint Germain · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 59′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint Germain · 90′ · 0.07 xG · goalBradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 25′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 72′ · 0.09 xG · on targetMarquinhos · Paris Saint Germain · 75′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 28′ · 0.11 xG · goalKang-in Lee · Paris Saint Germain · 43′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint Germain · 65′ · 0.12 xG · on targetBradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 19′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 67′ · 0.19 xG · goalIbrahim Mbaye · Paris Saint Germain · 90′ · 0.37 xG · off target or blockedSenny Mayulu · Paris Saint Germain · 39′ · 0.44 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Paris Saint Germain: 20 shots, 9 on target, 2.24 xG. Rennes: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.23 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Khvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 28′Senny Mayulu · Paris Saint Germain · 39′Khvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 67′Ibrahim Mbaye · Paris Saint Germain · 88′Gonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint Germain · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Paris Saint Germain 2.24 xG · Rennes 0.23 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Paris Saint Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Rennes's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Paris Saint Germain show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Paris Saint Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.9 shots/match▲ShotsParis Saint Germain · Rennes12.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricParis Saint GermainRennesBaseline
Shots17.9 shots/match12.6 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against8.67 shots/match14.8 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Rennes have a visible away split

moderate

Rennes's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season12.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9 shots/match12.6 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Rennes's recent record differs from the season

weak

Rennes's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.6 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.6 goals/match1.45 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Paris Saint Germain favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Rennes in 0 · 4 too close

2.13 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 15/151.6 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 15/151.53 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
17.9 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 15/1512.6 shots/match
8.67 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 15/1514.8 shots/match
6.73 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 15/154.53 shots/match
2.8 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 15/154.2 shots/match
70.4%Possessionseason · 15/1549.7%
6.4 corners/matchCornersseason · 15/155.33 corners/match
3.07 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 15/154.93 corners/match
1.2 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 15/152.13 cards/match
10.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 15/1511.1 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
53%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 15/1527%
87%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 15/1580%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Paris Saint Germain97.2
Rennes58.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Paris Saint Germain95.4
Rennes65.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Paris Saint Germain97.2
Rennes36.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Paris Saint Germain63.9
Rennes58.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Paris Saint Germain2.8
Rennes27.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Paris Saint Germain88.9
Rennes69.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Paris Saint Germain71.5
Rennes55.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/52 goals/match
0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
21 shots/match▲Shots5/511 shots/match
7.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.4 shots/match
67.4%Possession5/544.2%
6.8 corners/matchCorners5/55.6 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards5/51.4 cards/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls5/58.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2.2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.7 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
19.1 shots/match▲Shots10/1012.7 shots/match
7.4 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.6 shots/match
68.9%Possession10/1050%
6.3 corners/matchCorners10/106.1 corners/match
1.5 cards/matchCards10/102.1 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

15 / 15 matches
2.13 goals/match▲Goals scored15/151.6 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed15/151.53 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
17.9 shots/match▲Shots15/1512.6 shots/match
6.73 shots/match▲Shots on target15/154.53 shots/match
70.4%Possession15/1549.7%
6.4 corners/matchCorners15/155.33 corners/match
1.2 cards/matchCards15/152.13 cards/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls15/1511.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 8 matches
2.43 goals/match▲Goals scored7/81.13 goals/match
0.43 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/82 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
21.4 shots/match▲Shots7/89 shots/match
7.86 shots/match▲Shots on target7/83.38 shots/match
71%Possession7/850.1%
7.14 corners/matchCorners7/85.38 corners/match
1.29 cards/matchCards7/82.13 cards/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls7/810.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.17 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.01 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 7 Dec 2025, 00:05 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsParis Saint GermainRennes
CompetitionLigue 1
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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