PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sat, 20 Dec 2025, 17:30 UTCFull timeEstadio El SadarFull-time recap

Osasuna

LLDWL
3–0Full-time recap

Alaves

LLLWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricOsasunaAlaves
Shots16 shots/match▲7 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Possession47%53%
Corners9 corners/match0 corners/match
Fouls16 fouls/match11 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Osasuna's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Osasuna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Osasuna's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Osasuna's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Osasuna have a visible home split

moderate

Osasuna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.8 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season10.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.8 shots/match10.5 shots/match11.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Osasuna favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Alaves in 2 · 8 too close

1 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 17/170.82 goals/match
1.18 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 17/171.18 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
10.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 17/1710.8 shots/match
13.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 17/17▲11.5 shots/match
3.59 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 17/173.29 shots/match
4.94 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 17/17▲3.65 shots/match
44.8%Possessionseason · 17/1749.5%
3.29 corners/matchCornersseason · 17/174.94 corners/match
4.53 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 17/174.82 corners/match
2.47 cards/matchCardsseason · 17/172.53 cards/match
12.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 17/1715.8 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
29%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 17/1718%
59%Scoring frequencyseason · 17/1759%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Osasuna22.5
Alaves52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Osasuna32.5
Alaves24.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Osasuna32.5
Alaves66.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Osasuna42.5
Alaves27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Osasuna57.5
Alaves82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Osasuna10
Alaves57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Osasuna31.9
Alaves52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match
1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.2 shots/match▲Shots5/58.2 shots/match
4.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.4 shots/match
40.4%Possession5/545.2%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/53.6 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls5/516.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.8 goals/match
1.3 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.3 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.4 shots/matchShots10/1011.8 shots/match
4.1 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.1 shots/match
46.2%Possession10/1048.4%
4 corners/matchCorners10/104.6 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards10/102.7 cards/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

17 / 17 matches
1 goals/match▲Goals scored17/170.82 goals/match
1.18 goals/matchGoals allowed17/171.18 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.5 shots/matchShots17/1710.8 shots/match
3.59 shots/match▲Shots on target17/173.29 shots/match
44.8%Possession17/1749.5%
3.29 corners/matchCorners17/174.94 corners/match
2.47 cards/matchCards17/172.53 cards/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls17/1715.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 8 matches
1.75 goals/match▲Goals scored8/80.38 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/81.38 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.8 shots/match▲Shots8/89.88 shots/match
5 shots/match▲Shots on target8/83.25 shots/match
48.1%Possession8/848.3%
3.63 corners/matchCorners8/84.13 corners/match
2.38 cards/matchCards8/83 cards/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls8/816.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.9 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Dec 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsOsasunaAlaves
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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