PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sat, 13 Dec 2025, 17:30 UTCFull timeCamp NouFull-time recap
2–0Full-time recap

Osasuna

DLLDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBarcelonaOsasuna
Shots24 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Possession80%20%
Corners14 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls5 fouls/match8 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Barcelona show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19.9 shots/match▲ShotsBarcelona · Osasuna10.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBarcelonaOsasunaBaseline
Shots19.9 shots/match10.1 shots/match11.2 shots/match
Shots against9 shots/match13.4 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share.

67.7%▲PossessionBarcelona · Osasuna44.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 23.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBarcelonaOsasunaBaseline
Possession67.7%44.6%48.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Barcelona's recent record differs from the season

weak

Barcelona's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.88 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3.4 goals/match2.88 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Barcelona favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Osasuna in 0 · 4 too close

2.88 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 17/160.88 goals/match
1.18 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 17/161.25 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
19.9 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 17/1610.1 shots/match
9 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 17/1613.4 shots/match
7.71 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 17/163.38 shots/match
3.41 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 17/165.06 shots/match
67.7%Possessionseason · 17/1644.6%
6.94 corners/matchCornersseason · 17/162.94 corners/match
4.53 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 17/164.81 corners/match
1.76 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 17/162.5 cards/match
9.29 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 17/1612.7 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
29%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 17/1625%
100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 17/1656%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Barcelona97.5
Osasuna17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Barcelona97.5
Osasuna20.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Barcelona79.2
Osasuna30.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Barcelona82.5
Osasuna32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Barcelona2.5
Osasuna60
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Barcelona92.5
Osasuna2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Barcelona72.5
Osasuna25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
3.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
19.2 shots/match▲Shots5/510.8 shots/match
6.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.4 shots/match
67.4%Possession5/541.6%
7.2 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match
1 cards/matchCards5/53.2 cards/match
9 fouls/matchFouls5/512.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2.8 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.9 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
19.3 shots/match▲Shots10/1011 shots/match
7.1 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.5 shots/match
64.4%Possession10/1046.4%
6.8 corners/matchCorners10/103.6 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards10/102.5 cards/match
9.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1012 fouls/match

Window

Season

17 / 16 matches
2.88 goals/match▲Goals scored17/160.88 goals/match
1.18 goals/match▲Goals allowed17/161.25 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
19.9 shots/match▲Shots17/1610.1 shots/match
7.71 shots/match▲Shots on target17/163.38 shots/match
67.7%Possession17/1644.6%
6.94 corners/matchCorners17/162.94 corners/match
1.76 cards/matchCards17/162.5 cards/match
9.29 fouls/matchFouls17/1612.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

9 / 9 matches
3.11 goals/match▲Goals scored9/90.33 goals/match
0.56 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/91.33 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
20.7 shots/match▲Shots9/98.44 shots/match
7.67 shots/match▲Shots on target9/92.33 shots/match
67.8%Possession9/941.8%
7.33 corners/matchCorners9/93 corners/match
0.89 cards/matchCards9/92.56 cards/match
9.11 fouls/matchFouls9/912 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.9 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples17 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Dec 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsBarcelonaOsasuna
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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