PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sat, 13 Dec 2025, 15:15 UTCFull timeEstadi Mallorca Son MoixFull-time recap
3–1Full-time recap

Elche

LDDLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricMallorcaElche
Shots15 shots/match▲9 shots/match
Shots on target8 shots/match▲0 shots/match
Possession42%58%
Corners1 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match13 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match0 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Mallorca's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Elche's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Mallorca's recent record differs from the season

weak

Mallorca's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.13 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Elche have a visible away split

moderate

Elche's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.63 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.63 shots/match11 shots/match11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Elche have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.7%▲PossessionMallorca · Elche58.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricMallorcaElcheBaseline
Possession44.7%58.9%48.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Mallorca favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Elche in 7 · 6 too close

1.13 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 16/16▲1.19 goals/match
1.44 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 16/16▲1.25 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
10.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 16/1611 shots/match
14 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 16/16▲12.8 shots/match
4.19 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 16/163.88 shots/match
4.44 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 16/164.38 shots/match
44.7%Possessionseason · 16/1658.9%
3.31 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/163 corners/match
6.25 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 16/16▲4.19 corners/match
2.31 cards/matchCardsseason · 16/16▲1.81 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1613 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
19%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/16▲25%
75%Scoring frequencyseason · 16/16▲81%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Mallorca22.5
Elche87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Mallorca48.3
Elche49.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Mallorca29.2
Elche43.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Mallorca57.5
Elche2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Mallorca42.5
Elche35
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Mallorca17.5
Elche7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Mallorca36.9
Elche41.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10 shots/matchShots5/5▲11.2 shots/match
5 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.8 shots/match
42.6%Possession5/558.8%
2 corners/matchCorners5/52.2 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/51.6 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls5/513.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.3 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.1 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.9 shots/matchShots10/10▲11.6 shots/match
4.1 shots/matchShots on target10/104.2 shots/match
45.3%Possession10/1059.7%
2.8 corners/matchCorners10/103.3 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards10/101.8 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 16 matches
1.13 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲1.19 goals/match
1.44 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲1.25 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.8 shots/matchShots16/1611 shots/match
4.19 shots/match▲Shots on target16/163.88 shots/match
44.7%Possession16/1658.9%
3.31 corners/matchCorners16/163 corners/match
2.31 cards/matchCards16/161.81 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls16/1613 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 8 matches
1.25 goals/match▲Goals scored8/80.88 goals/match
1.13 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/81.88 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.5 shots/match▲Shots8/88.63 shots/match
3.88 shots/match▲Shots on target8/82.75 shots/match
44.6%Possession8/855.6%
2.75 corners/matchCorners8/82.75 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards8/81.88 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls8/812.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.09 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Dec 2025, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsMallorcaElche
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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