PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Fri, 19 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeEstadio de MestallaFull-time recap
1–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricValenciaMallorca
Shots17 shots/match▲4 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match2 shots/match
Possession71%29%
Corners12 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match12 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Valencia's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: Mallorca's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Valencia have a visible home split

moderate

Valencia's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.2 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.2 shots/match11.2 shots/match11.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Mallorca's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Mallorca's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.12 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.12 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Valencia favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Mallorca in 5 · 4 too close

0.94 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 17/17▲1.12 goals/match
1.53 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 17/17▲1.41 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.2 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 17/1710.4 shots/match
12.3 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 17/1714.2 shots/match
2.82 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 17/17▲4.06 shots/match
4.59 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 17/17▲4.29 shots/match
48.9%Possessionseason · 17/1743.8%
5.41 corners/matchCornersseason · 17/173.29 corners/match
4.71 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 17/176.59 corners/match
1.94 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 17/172.35 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 17/1711.6 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
24%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 17/1718%
71%Scoring frequencyseason · 17/17▲76%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Valencia47.5
Mallorca17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Valencia34.2
Mallorca44.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Valencia29.2
Mallorca32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Valencia42.5
Mallorca47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Valencia25
Mallorca45
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Valencia72.5
Mallorca17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Valencia43.8
Mallorca33.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.4 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13 shots/match▲Shots5/59.6 shots/match
2.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.6 shots/match
55.2%Possession5/540.6%
6.6 corners/matchCorners5/52.4 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.7 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.3 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.3 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.5 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.1 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4 shots/match
50.3%Possession10/1044.3%
5.5 corners/matchCorners10/102.7 corners/match
2.1 cards/matchCards10/102.6 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

17 / 17 matches
0.94 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲1.12 goals/match
1.53 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲1.41 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.2 shots/match▲Shots17/1710.4 shots/match
2.82 shots/matchShots on target17/17▲4.06 shots/match
48.9%Possession17/1743.8%
5.41 corners/matchCorners17/173.29 corners/match
1.94 cards/matchCards17/172.35 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls17/1711.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

9 / 9 matches
1.22 goals/match▲Goals scored9/91 goals/match
0.89 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/91.67 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.2 shots/match▲Shots9/910.3 shots/match
3.44 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲4.22 shots/match
54.4%Possession9/943%
6.78 corners/matchCorners9/93.78 corners/match
2.22 cards/matchCards9/92.22 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls9/911.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.29 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.2 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Dec 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsValenciaMallorca
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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