La Liga · 2025Metropolitano Stadium

Atlético Madrid 2–1 Valencia · La Liga

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atlético Madrid won 2–1.

Shots
1013
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
1.011.17
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atletico Madrid beat Valencia 2–1. Recorded in this match (Atletico Madrid – Valencia): shots 10–13, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 1.01–1.17, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atletico Madrid's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atletico Madrid's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.76 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.76 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Valencia have a visible away split

moderate

Valencia's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.75 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7.75 shots/match10.8 shots/match11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Atletico Madrid.

6.71 days ▲Rest daysAtletico Madrid · Valencia5.91 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAtletico MadridValenciaBaseline
Rest days6.71 days5.91 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots13 shotsAtlético Madrid 10 shots, Valencia 13 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsAtlético Madrid 6 shots, Valencia 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.01 xG1.17 xGAtlético Madrid 1.01 xG, Valencia 1.17 xG
  • Possession46%54%Atlético Madrid 46%, Valencia 54%
  • Corners5 corners7 cornersAtlético Madrid 5 corners, Valencia 7 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls11 foulsAtlético Madrid 13 fouls, Valencia 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards1 cardAtlético Madrid 3 cards, Valencia 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Pepelu · Valencia · 7′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNahuel Molina · Atletico Madrid · 38′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFilip Ugrinić · Valencia · 23′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDiego López · Valencia · 12′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDimitri Foulquier · Valencia · 28′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJulián Alvarez · Atletico Madrid · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLucas Beltrán · Valencia · 80′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMatteo Ruggeri · Atletico Madrid · 17′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLucas Beltrán · Valencia · 63′ · 0.05 xG · goalAlexander Sørloth · Atletico Madrid · 13′ · 0.07 xG · on targetNicolás González · Atletico Madrid · 17′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDimitri Foulquier · Valencia · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedHugo Duro · Valencia · 57′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJosé Copete · Valencia · 23′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedDimitri Foulquier · Valencia · 34′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Atletico Madrid · 37′ · 0.12 xG · on targetNicolás González · Atletico Madrid · 51′ · 0.12 xG · on targetFilip Ugrinić · Valencia · 44′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedHugo Duro · Valencia · 1′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedKoke · Atletico Madrid · 17′ · 0.15 xG · goalAntoine Griezmann · Atletico Madrid · 74′ · 0.16 xG · goalGiuliano Simeone · Atletico Madrid · 66′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedHugo Duro · Valencia · 31′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Atletico Madrid: 10 shots, 6 on target, 1.04 xG. Valencia: 13 shots, 2 on target, 1.14 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Koke · Atletico Madrid · 17′Antoine Griezmann · Atletico Madrid · 74′Lucas Beltrán · Valencia · 63′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atletico Madrid 1.04 xG · Valencia 1.14 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Atlético Madrid
0Draws
1Valencia
Valencia — Atlético Madrid · La Liga0–3
Atlético Madrid — Valencia · La Liga3–0
Atlético Madrid — Valencia · La Liga2–0
Valencia — Atlético Madrid · La Liga3–0
Atlético Madrid — Valencia · La Liga3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Madrid favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Valencia in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Madrid17 matchesValencia16 matches
1.76 goals/match ▲Goals scored17/160.94 goals/match
0.94 goals/match ▲Goals allowed17/161.56 goals/match
1.7 xG/match ▲Expected goals17/161.08 xG/match
12.9 shots/match ▲Shots17/1610.8 shots/match
5.65 shots/match ▲Shots on target17/162.88 shots/match
53.7% ●Possession17/1647.6%
7 corners/match ●Corners17/165 corners/match
2.06 cards/matchCards17/161.94 cards/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls17/1612.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Dec 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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