PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2025Philips Stadion

PSV Eindhoven 2–3 Atlético Madrid · UEFA Champions League

2–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atlético Madrid won 2–3.

Shots
1315
Shots on target
39
Expected goals
2.672.23
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atlético Madrid beat PSV Eindhoven 3–2. Recorded in this match (PSV Eindhoven – Atlético Madrid): shots 13–15, shots on target 3–9, expected goals 2.67–2.23, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

PSV Eindhoven have a visible home split

weak

PSV Eindhoven's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14 shots/match11.2 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.67 corners/matchCornersPSV Eindhoven · Atlético Madrid● 6 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricPSV EindhovenAtlético MadridBaseline
Corners5.67 corners/match6 corners/match4.63 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Atlético Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Atlético Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.2 shots/match ▲ShotsPSV Eindhoven · Atlético Madrid13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPSV EindhovenAtlético MadridBaseline
Shots11.2 shots/match13.8 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against17 shots/match13.8 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots15 shotsPSV Eindhoven 13 shots, Atlético Madrid 15 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots9 shotsPSV Eindhoven 3 shots, Atlético Madrid 9 shots
  • Expected goals2.67 xG2.23 xGPSV Eindhoven 2.67 xG, Atlético Madrid 2.23 xG
  • Possession53%47%PSV Eindhoven 53%, Atlético Madrid 47%
  • Corners9 corners5 cornersPSV Eindhoven 9 corners, Atlético Madrid 5 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls15 foulsPSV Eindhoven 11 fouls, Atlético Madrid 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Sergiño Dest · PSV Eindhoven · 65′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMauro Júnior · PSV Eindhoven · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNahuel Molina · Atlético Madrid · 52′ · 0.02 xG · on targetCouhaib Driouech · PSV Eindhoven · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedConor Gallagher · Atlético Madrid · 75′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 42′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJoey Veerman · PSV Eindhoven · 49′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNicolás González · Atlético Madrid · 5′ · 0.04 xG · on targetPablo Barrios · Atlético Madrid · 33′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCouhaib Driouech · PSV Eindhoven · 42′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 44′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 35′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPablo Barrios · Atlético Madrid · 36′ · 0.05 xG · on targetCouhaib Driouech · PSV Eindhoven · 73′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRicardo Pepi · PSV Eindhoven · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPablo Barrios · Atlético Madrid · 36′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGiuliano Simeone · Atlético Madrid · 66′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedArmando Obispo · PSV Eindhoven · 74′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 17′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 56′ · 0.22 xG · goalAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 24′ · 0.36 xG · off target or blockedDávid Hancko · Atlético Madrid · 52′ · 0.36 xG · goalCouhaib Driouech · PSV Eindhoven · 13′ · 0.38 xG · off target or blockedArmando Obispo · PSV Eindhoven · 90′ · 0.59 xG · off target or blockedRicardo Pepi · PSV Eindhoven · 85′ · 0.63 xG · goalGuus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 10′ · 0.66 xG · goalJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 37′ · 0.85 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

PSV Eindhoven: 13 shots, 3 on target, 2.65 xG. Atlético Madrid: 15 shots, 9 on target, 2.28 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Guus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 10′Ricardo Pepi · PSV Eindhoven · 85′Julián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 37′Dávid Hancko · Atlético Madrid · 52′Alexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 56′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: PSV Eindhoven 2.65 xG · Atlético Madrid 2.28 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: PSV Eindhoven favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Atlético Madrid in 6 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

PSV Eindhoven6 matchesAtlético Madrid6 matches
2.5 goals/matchGoals scored6/62.5 goals/match
1.83 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/62 goals/match
1.84 xG/matchExpected goals6/61.87 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 13.8 shots/match
3.83 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 6.33 shots/match
54.3% ●Possession6/651%
5.67 corners/matchCorners6/6● 6 corners/match
10 fouls/matchFouls6/611.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 10 Dec 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPSV EindhovenAtlético Madrid
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required