PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025Abe Lenstra Stadion

SC Heerenveen 0–2 PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

PSV Eindhoven won 0–2.

Shots
1211
Shots on target
37
Expected goals
0.660.58
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

PSV Eindhoven beat SC Heerenveen 2–0. Recorded in this match (SC Heerenveen – PSV Eindhoven): shots 12–11, shots on target 3–7, expected goals 0.66–0.58, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SC Heerenveen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

SC Heerenveen's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.53 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.53 goals/match1.53 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

PSV Eindhoven have a visible away split

moderate

PSV Eindhoven's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

14.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season17.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.5 shots/match17.6 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.27 corners/match ●CornersSC Heerenveen · PSV Eindhoven6 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricSC HeerenveenPSV EindhovenBaseline
Corners6.27 corners/match6 corners/match5.1 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots11 shotsSC Heerenveen 12 shots, PSV Eindhoven 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots7 shotsSC Heerenveen 3 shots, PSV Eindhoven 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.66 xG0.58 xGSC Heerenveen 0.66 xG, PSV Eindhoven 0.58 xG
  • Possession38%62%SC Heerenveen 38%, PSV Eindhoven 62%
  • Corners7 corners3 cornersSC Heerenveen 7 corners, PSV Eindhoven 3 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls5 foulsSC Heerenveen 13 fouls, PSV Eindhoven 5 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Luuk Brouwers · SC Heerenveen · 72′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMaxence Rivera · SC Heerenveen · 29′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDennis Man · PSV Eindhoven · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMaxence Rivera · SC Heerenveen · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 57′ · 0.02 xG · on targetCouhaib Driouech · PSV Eindhoven · 87′ · 0.02 xG · on targetEsmir Bajraktarević · PSV Eindhoven · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEsmir Bajraktarević · PSV Eindhoven · 86′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOliver Braude · SC Heerenveen · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDylan Vente · SC Heerenveen · 15′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRicardo Pepi · PSV Eindhoven · 17′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJoris van Overeem · SC Heerenveen · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEser Gürbüz · SC Heerenveen · 75′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCouhaib Driouech · PSV Eindhoven · 83′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMaxence Rivera · SC Heerenveen · 31′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPaul Wanner · PSV Eindhoven · 39′ · 0.06 xG · on targetDylan Vente · SC Heerenveen · 42′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedVasilios Zagaritis · SC Heerenveen · 68′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 55′ · 0.09 xG · on targetRicardo Pepi · PSV Eindhoven · 27′ · 0.11 xG · goalMaxence Rivera · SC Heerenveen · 7′ · 0.12 xG · on targetJoey Veerman · PSV Eindhoven · 22′ · 0.13 xG · goalVáclav Sejk · SC Heerenveen · 71′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SC Heerenveen: 12 shots, 3 on target, 0.67 xG. PSV Eindhoven: 11 shots, 7 on target, 0.58 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Joey Veerman · PSV Eindhoven · 22′Ricardo Pepi · PSV Eindhoven · 27′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SC Heerenveen 0.67 xG · PSV Eindhoven 0.58 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1SC Heerenveen
1Draws
3PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven — SC Heerenveen · Eredivisie2–1
SC Heerenveen — PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie1–0
SC Heerenveen — PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie0–8
PSV Eindhoven — SC Heerenveen · Eredivisie2–0
PSV Eindhoven — SC Heerenveen · Eredivisie3–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SC Heerenveen favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · PSV Eindhoven in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SC Heerenveen15 matchesPSV Eindhoven15 matches
1.53 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲ 3.07 goals/match
1.73 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲ 1.13 goals/match
1.87 xG/matchExpected goals15/151.86 xG/match
15.8 shots/matchShots15/15▲ 17.6 shots/match
5.4 shots/matchShots on target15/15▲ 7.27 shots/match
51.7%Possession15/15● 59.6%
6.27 corners/match ●Corners15/156 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls15/1510.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 6 Dec 2025, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSC HeerenveenPSV Eindhoven
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
Head-to-headSC Heerenveen — PSV Eindhoven
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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