UEFA Champions League · 2025Tue, 9 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeLotto ParkFull-time recap

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise

WLLLW

2–3Full-time recap

Marseille

LWLLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Royale Union Saint-Gilloise	Marseille
Shots	8 shots/match	10 shots/match▲
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Expected goals	0.66 xG/match	1.46 xG/match▲
Possession	41%	59%
Corners	2 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	10 fouls/match	10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise: 8 shots, 6 on target, 0.65 xG. Marseille: 10 shots, 5 on target, 1.56 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0.65 xG · Marseille 1.56 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Royale Union Saint-Gilloise's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Marseille have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.8 goals/match	1.17 goals/match	1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Marseille have recorded the higher season possession share.

36.3%▲PossessionRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise · Marseille53.7%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.3 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Royale Union Saint-Gilloise	Marseille	Baseline
Possession	36.3%	53.7%	49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

13.2 fouls/match▲FoulsRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise · Marseille14.8 fouls/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Royale Union Saint-Gilloise	Marseille	Baseline
Fouls	13.2 fouls/match	14.8 fouls/match	11.5 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Marseille in 5 · 4 too close

1.17 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 6/6▲1.83 goals/match

2.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 6/6▲1.33 goals/match

1.44 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 6/61.12 xG/match

2.48 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 6/6▲1.49 xG/match

13.7 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 6/612.8 shots/match

13.8 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 6/615.2 shots/match

5.67 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 6/65 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 6/67 shots/match

36.3%Possessionseason · 6/653.7%

4.17 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/64.17 corners/match

5.33 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 6/6▲4.83 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

13.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/614.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

17%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/617%

67%Scoring frequencyseason · 6/6▲83%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise1.2

Marseille67.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise48.5

Marseille50.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise31.2

Marseille32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise96.4

Marseille25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise75

Marseille84.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise34.5

Marseille34.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise56.8

Marseille52.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2 goals/match

2.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.2 goals/match

1.05 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.2 xG/match

12.8 shots/matchShots5/512.4 shots/match

5.2 shots/matchShots on target5/55 shots/match

36.2%Possession5/553%

3.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14 fouls/matchFouls5/515 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

6 / 6 matches

1.17 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲1.83 goals/match

2.5 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲1.33 goals/match

1.44 xG/match▲Expected goals6/61.12 xG/match

13.7 shots/match▲Shots6/612.8 shots/match

5.67 shots/match▲Shots on target6/65 shots/match

36.3%Possession6/653.7%

4.17 corners/matchCorners6/64.17 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.2 fouls/matchFouls6/614.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

6 / 6 matches

1.17 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲1.83 goals/match

2.5 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲1.33 goals/match

1.44 xG/match▲Expected goals6/61.12 xG/match

13.7 shots/match▲Shots6/612.8 shots/match

5.67 shots/match▲Shots on target6/65 shots/match

36.3%Possession6/653.7%

4.17 corners/matchCorners6/64.17 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.2 fouls/matchFouls6/614.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches

0.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲1.67 goals/match

3.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲2 goals/match

0.83 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲0.91 xG/match

13.3 shots/match▲Shots3/311.7 shots/match

6 shots/match▲Shots on target3/34.33 shots/match

38%Possession3/354.3%

4 corners/matchCorners3/32.67 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.3 fouls/matchFouls3/313.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples6 / 6home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Wed, 10 Dec 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

Shot map

Expected-goals timeline

What the record shows

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise's recent record differs from the season

The teams have contrasting possession records

Both teams have elevated fouls records

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

Make a graphic from this match