PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2025Lotto Park

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 2–3 Olympique de Marseille · UEFA Champions League

2–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Olympique de Marseille won 2–3.

Shots
810
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
0.661.46
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Marseille beat Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 3–2. Recorded in this match (Royale Union Saint-Gilloise – Marseille): shots 8–10, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 0.66–1.46, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.17 goals/match1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Marseille have recorded the higher season possession share.

36.3%PossessionRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise · Marseille● 53.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRoyale Union Saint-GilloiseMarseilleBaseline
Possession36.3%53.7%49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

13.2 fouls/matchFoulsRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise · Marseille14.8 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricRoyale Union Saint-GilloiseMarseilleBaseline
Fouls13.2 fouls/match14.8 fouls/match11.5 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots10 shotsRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 8 shots, Olympique de Marseille 10 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 6 shots, Olympique de Marseille 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.66 xG1.46 xGRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 0.66 xG, Olympique de Marseille 1.46 xG
  • Possession41%59%Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 41%, Olympique de Marseille 59%
  • Corners2 corners3 cornersRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 2 corners, Olympique de Marseille 3 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls10 foulsRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 10 fouls, Olympique de Marseille 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang · Marseille · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRob Schoofs · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnan Khalaili · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 5′ · 0.03 xG · goalSofiane Boufal · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 74′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAnan Khalaili · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 65′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Marseille · 9′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAnan Khalaili · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 71′ · 0.05 xG · goalMason Greenwood · Marseille · 30′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPromise David · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetTimothy Weah · Marseille · 34′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedIgor Paixão · Marseille · 36′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedIgor Paixão · Marseille · 90′ · 0.09 xG · on targetSofiane Boufal · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 68′ · 0.11 xG · on targetPierre-Emerick Aubameyang · Marseille · 15′ · 0.20 xG · on targetMason Greenwood · Marseille · 41′ · 0.20 xG · goalMason Greenwood · Marseille · 58′ · 0.23 xG · goalPromise David · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 90′ · 0.31 xG · on targetIgor Paixão · Marseille · 15′ · 0.56 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise: 8 shots, 6 on target, 0.65 xG. Marseille: 10 shots, 5 on target, 1.56 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Anan Khalaili · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 5′Anan Khalaili · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 71′Igor Paixão · Marseille · 15′Mason Greenwood · Marseille · 41′Mason Greenwood · Marseille · 58′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0.65 xG · Marseille 1.56 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Royale Union Saint-Gilloise favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Olympique de Marseille in 5 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise6 matchesOlympique de Marseille6 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 1.83 goals/match
2.5 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 1.33 goals/match
1.44 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/61.12 xG/match
13.7 shots/match ▲Shots6/612.8 shots/match
5.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/65 shots/match
36.3%Possession6/6● 53.7%
4.17 corners/matchCorners6/64.17 corners/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls6/614.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 10 Dec 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRoyale Union Saint-GilloiseOlympique de Marseille
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required