UEFA Champions League · 2025Tue, 9 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeStade Louis IIFull-time recap

Monaco

LDDWD
10Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricMonacoGalatasaray
Shots19 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals3.37 xG/match1.34 xG/match
Possession42%58%
Corners7 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match15 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Denis Zakaria · Monaco · 53′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDenis Zakaria · Monaco · 8′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · Galatasaray · 34′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRoland Sallai · Galatasaray · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVictor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 36′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVictor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 39′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMaghnes Akliouche · Monaco · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAleksandr Golovin · Monaco · 77′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Sara · Galatasaray · 79′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMaghnes Akliouche · Monaco · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Sara · Galatasaray · 17′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMaghnes Akliouche · Monaco · 30′ · 0.04 xG · on targetGabriel Sara · Galatasaray · 37′ · 0.04 xG · on targetVictor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTakumi Minamino · Monaco · 58′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFolarin Balogun · Monaco · 20′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTakumi Minamino · Monaco · 72′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedYunus Akgün · Galatasaray · 87′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDenis Zakaria · Monaco · 24′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMaghnes Akliouche · Monaco · 20′ · 0.11 xG · on targetVictor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 23′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedThilo Kehrer · Monaco · 68′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedVictor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 16′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedBarış Alper Yılmaz · Galatasaray · 19′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedFolarin Balogun · Monaco · 62′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedLamine Camara · Monaco · 80′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedTakumi Minamino · Monaco · 48′ · 0.30 xG · on targetFolarin Balogun · Monaco · 68′ · 0.37 xG · goalFolarin Balogun · Monaco · 21′ · 0.40 xG · off target or blockedFolarin Balogun · Monaco · 59′ · 0.42 xG · off target or blockedİlkay Gündoğan · Galatasaray · 13′ · 0.57 xG · off target or blockedDenis Zakaria · Monaco · 50′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Monaco: 19 shots, 5 on target, 3.37 xG. Galatasaray: 13 shots, 2 on target, 1.33 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Folarin Balogun · Monaco · 68′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Monaco 3.37 xG · Galatasaray 1.33 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Galatasaray's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Monaco's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Galatasaray show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Galatasaray's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.3 shots/matchShotsMonaco · Galatasaray14.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMonacoGalatasarayBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match14.7 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against17 shots/match13 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Monaco have a visible home split

weak

Monaco's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.7 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season14.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.7 shots/match14.3 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Monaco favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Galatasaray in 4 · 6 too close

1.17 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 6/61.33 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 6/61.33 goals/match
1.9 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 6/61.92 xG/match
1.63 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 6/61.73 xG/match
14.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 6/614.7 shots/match
17 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 6/613 shots/match
4.83 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 6/65.33 shots/match
4.67 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 6/63.83 shots/match
44.3%Possessionseason · 6/651.5%
5.17 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/63.67 corners/match
3.83 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 6/65 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
13.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/612.3 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
50%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/633%
83%Scoring frequencyseason · 6/667%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Monaco13.1
Galatasaray65.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Monaco43.7
Galatasaray56.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Monaco41.2
Galatasaray63.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Monaco79.8
Galatasaray60.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Monaco77.4
Galatasaray64.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Monaco65.5
Galatasaray20.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Monaco61.6
Galatasaray53.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.6 goals/match
1.99 xG/matchExpected goals5/52.08 xG/match
14.6 shots/matchShots5/514.8 shots/match
4.8 shots/matchShots on target5/55.4 shots/match
43%Possession5/549.4%
5.2 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match
Cards0/0
14.2 fouls/matchFouls5/512.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

6 / 6 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored6/61.33 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed6/61.33 goals/match
1.9 xG/matchExpected goals6/61.92 xG/match
14.3 shots/matchShots6/614.7 shots/match
4.83 shots/matchShots on target6/65.33 shots/match
44.3%Possession6/651.5%
5.17 corners/matchCorners6/63.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.3 fouls/matchFouls6/612.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

6 / 6 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored6/61.33 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed6/61.33 goals/match
1.9 xG/matchExpected goals6/61.92 xG/match
14.3 shots/matchShots6/614.7 shots/match
4.83 shots/matchShots on target6/65.33 shots/match
44.3%Possession6/651.5%
5.17 corners/matchCorners6/63.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.3 fouls/matchFouls6/612.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored3/31.33 goals/match
0.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/32 goals/match
2.42 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.66 xG/match
16.7 shots/matchShots3/313.7 shots/match
5.33 shots/matchShots on target3/34.67 shots/match
42.3%Possession3/357.3%
6.33 corners/matchCorners3/32.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
15.3 fouls/matchFouls3/314.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114.1 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 10 Dec 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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