PitchMath
La Liga · 2025RCDE Stadium

Espanyol 1–0 Rayo Vallecano · La Liga

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Espanyol won 1–0.

Shots
96
Shots on target
22
Expected goals
1.330.25
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

Espanyol beat Rayo Vallecano 1–0. Recorded in this match (Espanyol – Rayo Vallecano): shots 9–6, shots on target 2–2, expected goals 1.33–0.25, possession 36%–64%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Rayo Vallecano's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rayo Vallecano's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.87 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.87 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Rayo Vallecano have recorded the higher season possession share.

41.1%PossessionEspanyol · Rayo Vallecano● 54.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricEspanyolRayo VallecanoBaseline
Possession41.1%54.2%48.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots6 shotsEspanyol 9 shots, Rayo Vallecano 6 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots2 shotsEspanyol 2 shots, Rayo Vallecano 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.33 xG0.25 xGEspanyol 1.33 xG, Rayo Vallecano 0.25 xG
  • Possession36%64%Espanyol 36%, Rayo Vallecano 64%
  • Corners6 corners2 cornersEspanyol 6 corners, Rayo Vallecano 2 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls22 foulsEspanyol 19 fouls, Rayo Vallecano 22 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards8 cardsEspanyol 4 cards, Rayo Vallecano 8 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Gerard Gumbau · Rayo Vallecano · 51′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTyrhys Dolan · Espanyol · 74′ · 0.02 xG · on targetIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRandy Nteka · Rayo Vallecano · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Romero · Espanyol · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPere Milla · Espanyol · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJorge de Frutos · Rayo Vallecano · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTyrhys Dolan · Espanyol · 75′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTyrhys Dolan · Espanyol · 3′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGerard Gumbau · Rayo Vallecano · 27′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Cabrera · Espanyol · 60′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedUrko González · Espanyol · 80′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedUnai López · Rayo Vallecano · 18′ · 0.12 xG · on targetFernando Calero · Espanyol · 7′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Fernández · Espanyol · 39′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Espanyol: 9 shots, 2 on target, 1.36 xG. Rayo Vallecano: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.26 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Roberto Fernández · Espanyol · 39′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Espanyol 1.36 xG · Rayo Vallecano 0.26 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Espanyol
0Draws
2Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano — Espanyol · La Liga0–4
Espanyol — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga2–1
Rayo Vallecano — Espanyol · La Liga1–2
Espanyol — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga0–2
Espanyol — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Espanyol favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Rayo Vallecano in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Espanyol15 matchesRayo Vallecano15 matches
1.27 goals/match ▲Goals scored15/150.87 goals/match
1.07 goals/matchGoals allowed15/151.07 goals/match
1.57 xG/match ▲Expected goals15/151.29 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShots15/1512.6 shots/match
4.47 shots/match ▲Shots on target15/154.07 shots/match
41.1%Possession15/15● 54.2%
4.33 corners/matchCorners15/15● 6.13 corners/match
2.13 cards/matchCards15/152.8 cards/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls15/1514 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 7 Dec 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsEspanyolRayo Vallecano
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headEspanyol — Rayo Vallecano
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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