La Liga · 2025Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Real Madrid 0–2 Celta Vigo · La Liga

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Celta Vigo won 0–2.

Shots
237
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
2.291.55
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Celta Vigo beat Real Madrid 2–0. Recorded in this match (Real Madrid – Celta Vigo): shots 23–7, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 2.29–1.55, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Real Madrid's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Madrid's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match2 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19.9 shots/match ▲ShotsReal Madrid · Celta Vigo10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal MadridCelta VigoBaseline
Shots19.9 shots/match10.9 shots/match11.2 shots/match
Shots against10.1 shots/match12.6 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Real Madrid.

4.08 days ▲Rest daysReal Madrid · Celta Vigo7.1 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricReal MadridCelta VigoBaseline
Rest days4.08 days7.1 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots23 shots7 shotsReal Madrid 23 shots, Celta Vigo 7 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsReal Madrid 7 shots, Celta Vigo 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.29 xG1.55 xGReal Madrid 2.29 xG, Celta Vigo 1.55 xG
  • Possession58%42%Real Madrid 58%, Celta Vigo 42%
  • Corners8 corners1 cornerReal Madrid 8 corners, Celta Vigo 1 corner
  • Fouls6 fouls12 foulsReal Madrid 6 fouls, Celta Vigo 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards6 cards1 cardReal Madrid 6 cards, Celta Vigo 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Antonio Rüdiger · Real Madrid · 32′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 46′ · 0.01 xG · on targetFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 56′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJavi Rodríguez · Celta Vigo · 23′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRaúl Asencio · Real Madrid · 29′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedArda Güler · Real Madrid · 34′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAurélien Tchouaméni · Real Madrid · 68′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 83′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetArda Güler · Real Madrid · 34′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 40′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRodrygo · Real Madrid · 81′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAurélien Tchouaméni · Real Madrid · 86′ · 0.03 xG · on targetVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 68′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedWilliot Swedberg · Celta Vigo · 60′ · 0.05 xG · on targetPablo Durán · Celta Vigo · 8′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedArda Güler · Real Madrid · 16′ · 0.10 xG · on targetPablo Durán · Celta Vigo · 41′ · 0.14 xG · on targetKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 77′ · 0.15 xG · on targetVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 45′ · 0.23 xG · on targetWilliot Swedberg · Celta Vigo · 54′ · 0.24 xG · goalGonzalo García · Real Madrid · 87′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 74′ · 0.36 xG · off target or blockedArda Güler · Real Madrid · 38′ · 0.42 xG · off target or blockedJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 16′ · 0.44 xG · on targetWilliot Swedberg · Celta Vigo · 90′ · 0.94 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Madrid: 23 shots, 7 on target, 2.30 xG. Celta Vigo: 7 shots, 5 on target, 1.48 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Williot Swedberg · Celta Vigo · 54′Williot Swedberg · Celta Vigo · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Madrid 2.30 xG · Celta Vigo 1.48 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

5Real Madrid
0Draws
0Celta Vigo
Real Madrid — Celta Vigo · La Liga3–2
Celta Vigo — Real Madrid · La Liga1–2
Real Madrid — Celta Vigo · La Liga4–0
Celta Vigo — Real Madrid · La Liga0–1
Real Madrid — Celta Vigo · La Liga2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Madrid favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Celta Vigo in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Madrid16 matchesCelta Vigo15 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored16/151.2 goals/match
0.94 goals/match ▲Goals allowed16/151.27 goals/match
2.36 xG/match ▲Expected goals16/151.2 xG/match
19.9 shots/match ▲Shots16/1510.9 shots/match
7.13 shots/match ▲Shots on target16/153.87 shots/match
59.8% ●Possession16/1550.9%
6.31 corners/match ●Corners16/154.33 corners/match
2.19 cards/matchCards16/152 cards/match
9.56 fouls/matchFouls16/1512.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 8 Dec 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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