PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sun, 30 Nov 2025, 17:30 UTCFull timeEstadio Abanca BalaídosFull-time recap
0–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricCelta VigoEspanyol
Shots11 shots/match▲9 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Possession61%39%
Corners4 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match15 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match▲2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Celta Vigo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Celta Vigo have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Celta Vigo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Celta Vigo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.14 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Celta Vigo have recorded the higher season possession share.

51.5%▲PossessionCelta Vigo · Espanyol41.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCelta VigoEspanyolBaseline
Possession51.5%41.4%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Celta Vigo favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Espanyol in 6 · 6 too close

1.14 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 14/14▲1.29 goals/match
1.36 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 14/14▲1.14 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 14/14▲13.5 shots/match
11.9 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 14/1413.6 shots/match
3.79 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 14/14▲4.64 shots/match
4.57 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 14/144.43 shots/match
51.5%Possessionseason · 14/1441.4%
4.57 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/144.21 corners/match
4.57 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 14/144.71 corners/match
2.07 cards/matchCardsseason · 14/14▲1.93 cards/match
12.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1413.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
7%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/14▲36%
86%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 14/1479%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Celta Vigo67.5
Espanyol12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Celta Vigo50.8
Espanyol66.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Celta Vigo44.2
Espanyol41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Celta Vigo22.5
Espanyol92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Celta Vigo36.2
Espanyol40
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Celta Vigo42.5
Espanyol32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Celta Vigo45
Espanyol59.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲13 shots/match
4.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.8 shots/match
50.2%Possession5/541%
2.8 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFouls5/513.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.3 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.4 shots/matchShots10/10▲14.7 shots/match
4.1 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5 shots/match
49%Possession10/1041.8%
4 corners/matchCorners10/105.1 corners/match
2.1 cards/matchCards10/101.7 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 14 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲1.29 goals/match
1.36 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲1.14 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.2 shots/matchShots14/14▲13.5 shots/match
3.79 shots/matchShots on target14/14▲4.64 shots/match
51.5%Possession14/1441.4%
4.57 corners/matchCorners14/144.21 corners/match
2.07 cards/matchCards14/141.93 cards/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls14/1413.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 6 matches
0.88 goals/matchGoals scored8/6▲1 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed8/6▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.8 shots/matchShots8/6▲14.7 shots/match
3.63 shots/matchShots on target8/6▲3.83 shots/match
55.1%Possession8/638.3%
5.38 corners/matchCorners8/63.83 corners/match
1.63 cards/matchCards8/61.33 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls8/614 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.19 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.9 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Nov 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsCelta VigoEspanyol
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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