PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Mon, 24 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeRCDE StadiumFull-time recap
2–1Full-time recap

Sevilla

WLLLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricEspanyolSevilla
Shots8 shots/match22 shots/match▲
Shots on target5 shots/match6 shots/match▲
Possession33%67%
Corners4 corners/match13 corners/match
Fouls18 fouls/match7 fouls/match
Yellow cards4 cards/match1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sevilla's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Sevilla have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Sevilla's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sevilla's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.46 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.46 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Sevilla have recorded the higher season possession share.

41.5%▲PossessionEspanyol · Sevilla53.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricEspanyolSevillaBaseline
Possession41.5%53.5%50.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Espanyol favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Sevilla in 3 · 4 too close

1.31 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 13/13▲1.46 goals/match
1.23 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 13/131.62 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 13/1311.3 shots/match
13.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 13/13▲11.3 shots/match
4.85 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 13/133.38 shots/match
4.46 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 13/134.85 shots/match
41.5%Possessionseason · 13/1353.5%
4.31 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/135.31 corners/match
4.77 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 13/135.62 corners/match
1.92 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 13/133.15 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1315.2 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
31%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/1323%
77%Scoring frequencyseason · 13/13▲92%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Espanyol12.5
Sevilla77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Espanyol72.5
Sevilla48.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Espanyol39.2
Sevilla35
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Espanyol97.5
Sevilla17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Espanyol40
Sevilla92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Espanyol30
Sevilla62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Espanyol63.8
Sevilla55.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15 shots/match▲Shots5/512.2 shots/match
5.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.4 shots/match
41%Possession5/557%
4.6 corners/matchCorners5/58 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards5/52.8 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/514 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.4 goals/match
1.3 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.7 shots/match▲Shots10/1011 shots/match
5.1 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.1 shots/match
41.7%Possession10/1053%
5.1 corners/matchCorners10/106 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards10/103.6 cards/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1016.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 13 matches
1.31 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲1.46 goals/match
1.23 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/131.62 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.8 shots/match▲Shots13/1311.3 shots/match
4.85 shots/match▲Shots on target13/133.38 shots/match
41.5%Possession13/1353.5%
4.31 corners/matchCorners13/135.31 corners/match
1.92 cards/matchCards13/133.15 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls13/1315.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 7 matches
1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored8/71.29 goals/match
1.25 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/71.57 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.6 shots/match▲Shots8/710.9 shots/match
5.25 shots/match▲Shots on target8/73.29 shots/match
43.6%Possession8/751.9%
4.5 corners/matchCorners8/75.43 corners/match
2.38 cards/matchCards8/72.71 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls8/713.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

16 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/116.2 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 25 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsEspanyolSevilla
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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