PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sun, 23 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeEstadio Manuel Martínez ValeroFull-time recap

Elche

LDLLD
2–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricElcheReal Madrid
Shots15 shots/match20 shots/match▲
Shots on target6 shots/match7 shots/match▲
Possession49%51%
Corners2 corners/match8 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match8 fouls/match
Yellow cards4 cards/match1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Elche's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.3 shots/match▲ShotsElche · Real Madrid19.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricElcheReal MadridBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match19.8 shots/match11.3 shots/match
Shots against12.8 shots/match10.4 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Elche's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Elche's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.15 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.15 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Elche have a visible home split

moderate

Elche's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.7 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.7 shots/match11.3 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Elche favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Real Madrid in 9 · 5 too close

1.15 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 13/13▲2.15 goals/match
1.23 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 13/13▲0.92 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 13/13▲19.8 shots/match
12.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 13/13▲10.4 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 13/13▲7.31 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 13/13▲3.08 shots/match
58.5%Possessionseason · 13/1359.7%
3.08 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/136.23 corners/match
4.69 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 13/13▲3.23 corners/match
2.08 cards/matchCardsseason · 13/132 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1310 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
23%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/13▲46%
85%Scoring frequencyseason · 13/13▲92%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Elche87.5
Real Madrid92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Elche50
Real Madrid92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Elche50
Real Madrid86.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Elche2.5
Real Madrid92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Elche46.2
Real Madrid16.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Elche10
Real Madrid85
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Elche44.4
Real Madrid70.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.8 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲21.6 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲8.6 shots/match
60%Possession5/555.6%
2.8 corners/matchCorners5/57.8 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls5/510.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2.2 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.9 shots/matchShots10/10▲19.6 shots/match
4.3 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲7.3 shots/match
58.3%Possession10/1058.2%
3.3 corners/matchCorners10/106.1 corners/match
2.3 cards/matchCards10/102.2 cards/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 13 matches
1.15 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲2.15 goals/match
1.23 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲0.92 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.3 shots/matchShots13/13▲19.8 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲7.31 shots/match
58.5%Possession13/1359.7%
3.08 corners/matchCorners13/136.23 corners/match
2.08 cards/matchCards13/132 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls13/1310 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 7 matches
1.29 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲2 goals/match
0.71 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/71.29 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.7 shots/matchShots7/7▲19.4 shots/match
4.86 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲7.14 shots/match
62.7%Possession7/758.3%
3.43 corners/matchCorners7/76 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards7/71.71 cards/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls7/79 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

16 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114.2 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 24 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsElcheReal Madrid
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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