PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

Elche 2–2 Real Madrid · La Liga

Elche

LDLLD
2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Elche and Real Madrid drew 2–2.

Shots
1520
Shots on target
67
Expected goals
1.443.49
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Elche and Real Madrid drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Elche – Real Madrid): shots 15–20, shots on target 6–7, expected goals 1.44–3.49, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.3 shots/match ▲ShotsElche · Real Madrid19.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricElcheReal MadridBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match19.8 shots/match11.3 shots/match
Shots against12.8 shots/match10.4 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Elche's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Elche's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.15 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.15 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Elche have a visible home split

moderate

Elche's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.7 shots/match11.3 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots20 shotsElche 15 shots, Real Madrid 20 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots7 shotsElche 6 shots, Real Madrid 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.44 xG3.49 xGElche 1.44 xG, Real Madrid 3.49 xG
  • Possession49%51%Elche 49%, Real Madrid 51%
  • Corners2 corners8 cornersElche 2 corners, Real Madrid 8 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls8 foulsElche 10 fouls, Real Madrid 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards1 cardElche 4 cards, Real Madrid 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Trent Alexander-Arnold · Real Madrid · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGrady Diangana · Elche · 16′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedArda Güler · Real Madrid · 25′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGrady Diangana · Elche · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRafa Mir · Elche · 80′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRodrygo · Real Madrid · 4′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRafa Mir · Elche · 29′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRodrygo · Real Madrid · 39′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRaúl Asencio · Real Madrid · 72′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRafa Mir · Elche · 82′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRafa Mir · Elche · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRaúl Asencio · Real Madrid · 21′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGermán Valera · Elche · 38′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAndré Silva · Elche · 14′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRodrygo · Real Madrid · 43′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRodrygo · Real Madrid · 47′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAdrià Pedrosa · Elche · 80′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 11′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAndré Silva · Elche · 38′ · 0.08 xG · on targetVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 82′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 87′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAndré Silva · Elche · 74′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMartim Neto · Elche · 80′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro Rodriguez · Elche · 84′ · 0.13 xG · goalJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 90′ · 0.13 xG · on targetDean Huijsen · Real Madrid · 48′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedAleix Febas · Elche · 53′ · 0.29 xG · goalKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 30′ · 0.31 xG · on targetGonzalo García · Real Madrid · 65′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blockedRafa Mir · Elche · 17′ · 0.36 xG · on targetKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 33′ · 0.40 xG · on targetDean Huijsen · Real Madrid · 78′ · 0.43 xG · goalJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 87′ · 0.53 xG · goalGonzalo García · Real Madrid · 90′ · 0.65 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Elche: 15 shots, 6 on target, 1.45 xG. Real Madrid: 20 shots, 7 on target, 3.59 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Aleix Febas · Elche · 53′Álvaro Rodriguez · Elche · 84′Dean Huijsen · Real Madrid · 78′Jude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 87′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Elche 1.45 xG · Real Madrid 3.59 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Elche
1Draws
3Real Madrid
Real Madrid — Elche · La Liga4–0
Elche — Real Madrid · La Liga0–3
Real Madrid — Elche · La Liga2–2
Elche — Real Madrid · La Liga1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Elche favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Real Madrid in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Elche13 matchesReal Madrid13 matches
1.15 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲ 2.15 goals/match
1.23 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲ 0.92 goals/match
1.12 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲ 2.36 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots13/13▲ 19.8 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲ 7.31 shots/match
58.5%Possession13/13● 59.7%
3.08 corners/matchCorners13/13● 6.23 corners/match
2.08 cards/matchCards13/132 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls13/1310 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 24 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsElcheReal Madrid
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headElche — Real Madrid
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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