PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Fri, 28 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeColiseumFull-time recap

Getafe

LWWLL
1–0Full-time recap

Elche

DLLDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricGetafeElche
Shots15 shots/match▲9 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match▲4 shots/match
Possession34%66%
Corners3 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls18 fouls/match11 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Elche's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Elche's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Elche's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Elche's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.07 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.07 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Elche have a visible away split

moderate

Elche's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.57 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.57 shots/match11.1 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Elche have recorded the higher season possession share.

40.4%▲PossessionGetafe · Elche59%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricGetafeElcheBaseline
Possession40.4%59%50.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Getafe favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Elche in 5 · 5 too close

0.93 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 14/14▲1.07 goals/match
1.07 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 14/141.21 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
9.43 shots/matchShotsseason · 14/14▲11.1 shots/match
10.4 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 14/1413 shots/match
2.86 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 14/14▲4 shots/match
4.29 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 14/144.14 shots/match
40.4%Possessionseason · 14/1459%
4.93 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/143.21 corners/match
4.21 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 14/144.57 corners/match
2.57 cards/matchCardsseason · 14/14▲2.07 cards/match
15.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1412.6 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
29%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/1421%
64%Scoring frequencyseason · 14/14▲79%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Getafe7.5
Elche87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Getafe17.5
Elche45.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Getafe69.2
Elche50.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Getafe42.5
Elche2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Getafe85
Elche40
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Getafe52.5
Elche12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Getafe37.5
Elche38.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.8 goals/match
0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.6 shots/matchShots5/511.6 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4 shots/match
43.8%Possession5/559.4%
7.2 corners/matchCorners5/52.6 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls5/513.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.7 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲0.9 goals/match
1.1 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.3 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.2 shots/matchShots10/10▲12.3 shots/match
2.7 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.5 shots/match
41.4%Possession10/1060.2%
5.3 corners/matchCorners10/103.6 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards10/102.2 cards/match
15.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 14 matches
0.93 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲1.07 goals/match
1.07 goals/match▲Goals allowed14/141.21 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.43 shots/matchShots14/14▲11.1 shots/match
2.86 shots/matchShots on target14/14▲4 shots/match
40.4%Possession14/1459%
4.93 corners/matchCorners14/143.21 corners/match
2.57 cards/matchCards14/142.07 cards/match
15.1 fouls/matchFouls14/1412.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 7 matches
1 goals/match▲Goals scored7/70.86 goals/match
0.71 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/71.71 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.1 shots/match▲Shots7/78.57 shots/match
2.86 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲3.14 shots/match
41%Possession7/755.3%
4.29 corners/matchCorners7/73 corners/match
2.71 cards/matchCards7/72.14 cards/match
16 fouls/matchFouls7/712.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsGetafeElche
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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