PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sat, 29 Nov 2025, 15:15 UTCFull timeCamp NouFull-time recap
3–1Full-time recap

Alaves

DLWLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBarcelonaAlaves
Shots18 shots/match▲9 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Possession69%31%
Corners5 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match17 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Alaves's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Barcelona show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

20 shots/match▲ShotsBarcelona · Alaves11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBarcelonaAlavesBaseline
Shots20 shots/match11.1 shots/match11.3 shots/match
Shots against9 shots/match11.2 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Alaves's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Alaves's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.86 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share.

67.9%▲PossessionBarcelona · Alaves49.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBarcelonaAlavesBaseline
Possession67.9%49.9%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Barcelona favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Alaves in 2 · 5 too close

2.79 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 14/140.86 goals/match
1.14 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 14/14▲1.07 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
20 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 14/1411.1 shots/match
9 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 14/1411.2 shots/match
7.86 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 14/143.43 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 14/143.43 shots/match
67.9%Possessionseason · 14/1449.9%
6.57 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/145.29 corners/match
4.64 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 14/14▲4.14 corners/match
1.93 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 14/142.57 cards/match
9.43 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1416.1 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
29%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/1414%
100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 14/1457%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Barcelona97.5
Alaves52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Barcelona97.5
Alaves27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Barcelona79.2
Alaves78.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Barcelona82.5
Alaves32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Barcelona8.8
Alaves91.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Barcelona92.5
Alaves62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Barcelona73.8
Alaves58.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
3 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
18 shots/match▲Shots5/510.6 shots/match
6.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53 shots/match
63%Possession5/546.2%
5 corners/matchCorners5/53 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards5/53.2 cards/match
10 fouls/matchFouls5/515.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2.6 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.8 goals/match
1.3 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
19.4 shots/match▲Shots10/1012.1 shots/match
7.9 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.5 shots/match
66.9%Possession10/1050.4%
6.6 corners/matchCorners10/105.5 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards10/102.7 cards/match
9 fouls/matchFouls10/1016.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 14 matches
2.79 goals/match▲Goals scored14/140.86 goals/match
1.14 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲1.07 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
20 shots/match▲Shots14/1411.1 shots/match
7.86 shots/match▲Shots on target14/143.43 shots/match
67.9%Possession14/1449.9%
6.57 corners/matchCorners14/145.29 corners/match
1.93 cards/matchCards14/142.57 cards/match
9.43 fouls/matchFouls14/1416.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 7 matches
3.29 goals/match▲Goals scored7/70.43 goals/match
0.57 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/71.14 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
20.4 shots/match▲Shots7/710.3 shots/match
8 shots/match▲Shots on target7/73.29 shots/match
67.4%Possession7/747.6%
6.71 corners/matchCorners7/74.71 corners/match
1 cards/matchCards7/73.14 cards/match
9.29 fouls/matchFouls7/717 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.09 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Nov 2025, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsBarcelonaAlaves
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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