PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sat, 29 Nov 2025, 17:30 UTCFull timeEstadio Ciudad de ValenciaFull-time recap

Levante

LDLLL
0–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLevanteAthletic Club
Shots11 shots/match14 shots/match▲
Shots on target4 shots/match4 shots/match
Possession56%44%
Corners4 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match19 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match2 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Levante's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Athletic Club's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Levante's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Levante's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.14 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Athletic Club show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Athletic Club's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.3 shots/match▲ShotsLevante · Athletic Club13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLevanteAthletic ClubBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match13.1 shots/match11.3 shots/match
Shots against17.4 shots/match9.71 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Athletic Club have recorded the higher season possession share.

40.2%▲PossessionLevante · Athletic Club49.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLevanteAthletic ClubBaseline
Possession40.2%49.2%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Levante favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Athletic Club in 8 · 4 too close

1.14 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 14/141 goals/match
1.86 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 14/14▲1.21 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
10.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 14/14▲13.1 shots/match
17.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 14/14▲9.71 shots/match
3.36 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 14/14▲4.07 shots/match
5.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 14/14▲3.71 shots/match
40.2%Possessionseason · 14/1449.2%
3.14 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/145.43 corners/match
7.64 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 14/14▲4.36 corners/match
2.29 cards/matchCardsseason · 14/14▲1.93 cards/match
12.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1413.5 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
14%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/14▲29%
71%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 14/1457%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Levante2.5
Athletic Club47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Levante30.8
Athletic Club52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Levante7.5
Athletic Club68.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Levante62.5
Athletic Club67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Levante56.2
Athletic Club41.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Levante7.5
Athletic Club72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Levante25.6
Athletic Club66.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲13.2 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.2 shots/match
39.2%Possession5/546%
3.2 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls5/512.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.1 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.8 goals/match
1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.3 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.3 shots/matchShots10/10▲13.2 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.1 shots/match
44.1%Possession10/1049.4%
3.7 corners/matchCorners10/104.7 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards10/102 cards/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 14 matches
1.14 goals/match▲Goals scored14/141 goals/match
1.86 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲1.21 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.3 shots/matchShots14/14▲13.1 shots/match
3.36 shots/matchShots on target14/14▲4.07 shots/match
40.2%Possession14/1449.2%
3.14 corners/matchCorners14/145.43 corners/match
2.29 cards/matchCards14/141.93 cards/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls14/1413.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 7 matches
1 goals/match▲Goals scored6/70.86 goals/match
2.67 goals/matchGoals allowed6/7▲1.57 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.2 shots/matchShots6/7▲12 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on target6/7▲3.71 shots/match
39%Possession6/745.7%
4 corners/matchCorners6/74.86 corners/match
2.33 cards/matchCards6/72.57 cards/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls6/712.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.09 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Nov 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsLevanteAthletic Club
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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