PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Mon, 24 Nov 2025, 19:45 UTCFull timeMAPEI Stadium - Città del TricoloreFull-time recap
2–2Full-time recap

Pisa

DDDDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSassuoloPisa
Shots22 shots/match▲10 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Possession63%37%
Corners5 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match10 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Pisa's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Sassuolo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Pisa's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Pisa's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.83 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sassuolo show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Sassuolo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11 shots/match▲ShotsSassuolo · Pisa9.75 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSassuoloPisaBaseline
Shots11 shots/match9.75 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against13.3 shots/match16.3 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Sassuolo have recorded the higher season possession share.

46.8%▲PossessionSassuolo · Pisa38.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSassuoloPisaBaseline
Possession46.8%38.5%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sassuolo favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · Pisa in 1 · 5 too close

1.33 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 12/120.83 goals/match
1.17 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 12/121.33 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 12/129.75 shots/match
13.3 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 12/1216.3 shots/match
3.83 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 12/122.5 shots/match
4.5 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 12/124.83 shots/match
46.8%Possessionseason · 12/1238.5%
3.33 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/123.17 corners/match
4.83 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 12/125.42 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCardsseason · 12/12▲1.83 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1213 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/1233%
75%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 12/1250%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sassuolo37.5
Pisa2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sassuolo47.5
Pisa13.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sassuolo35.8
Pisa19.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sassuolo37.5
Pisa67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sassuolo65
Pisa41.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sassuolo22.5
Pisa15
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sassuolo35
Pisa18.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.4 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.2 shots/match▲Shots5/510.4 shots/match
4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.2 shots/match
50.2%Possession5/536.4%
4.4 corners/matchCorners5/52.6 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match
14 fouls/matchFouls5/513.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.9 goals/match
0.9 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.6 shots/match▲Shots10/109.9 shots/match
3.8 shots/match▲Shots on target10/102.5 shots/match
46.5%Possession10/1039.7%
3.5 corners/matchCorners10/103.3 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards10/102 cards/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

12 / 12 matches
1.33 goals/match▲Goals scored12/120.83 goals/match
1.17 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/121.33 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11 shots/match▲Shots12/129.75 shots/match
3.83 shots/match▲Shots on target12/122.5 shots/match
46.8%Possession12/1238.5%
3.33 corners/matchCorners12/123.17 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards12/121.83 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls12/1213 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 6 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲1.5 goals/match
1.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/62.33 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.3 shots/match▲Shots6/69.5 shots/match
3.67 shots/match▲Shots on target6/62.67 shots/match
48%Possession6/634%
3.17 corners/matchCorners6/62.5 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards6/61.5 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFouls6/613.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

15.3 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/117 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 24 Nov 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsSassuoloPisa
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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