PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Fri, 28 Nov 2025, 19:45 UTCFull timeStadio Giuseppe SinigagliaFull-time recap

Como

DWDDW
2–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricComoSassuolo
Shots18 shots/match▲12 shots/match
Shots on target13 shots/match▲5 shots/match
Possession63%37%
Corners4 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match7 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Como's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sassuolo. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Como's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Como's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.46 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.46 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sassuolo.

4.09 days▲Rest daysComo · Sassuolo4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricComoSassuoloBaseline
Rest days4.09 days4 days—
Matches last 14 days1 matches1 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Como have recorded the higher season possession share.

61%▲PossessionComo · Sassuolo46%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricComoSassuoloBaseline
Possession61%46%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Como
0Draws
0Sassuolo
Como — Sassuolo · Coppa Italia3–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Como favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · Sassuolo in 0 · 6 too close

1.46 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 13/131.23 goals/match
0.54 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 13/131.23 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 13/1311.1 shots/match
10.9 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 13/1313.7 shots/match
5.38 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 13/133.92 shots/match
3.69 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 13/135.15 shots/match
61%Possessionseason · 13/1346%
3.92 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/133.38 corners/match
3.54 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 13/134.77 corners/match
2.46 cards/matchCardsseason · 13/132.38 cards/match
15 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1312.7 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
46%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/1331%
69%Scoring frequencyseason · 13/1369%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Como97.5
Sassuolo32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Como79.2
Sassuolo44.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Como77.5
Sassuolo25.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Como27.5
Sassuolo37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Como80
Sassuolo52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Como37.5
Sassuolo22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Como68.8
Sassuolo32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.6 goals/match
0.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.2 shots/match▲Shots5/513.4 shots/match
6.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.8 shots/match
65.8%Possession5/549.4%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls5/511.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.3 goals/match
0.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.4 shots/match▲Shots10/1011.8 shots/match
5.8 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104 shots/match
61.3%Possession10/1046.1%
4.1 corners/matchCorners10/103.6 corners/match
2.3 cards/matchCards10/101.9 cards/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 13 matches
1.46 goals/match▲Goals scored13/131.23 goals/match
0.54 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/131.23 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.8 shots/match▲Shots13/1311.1 shots/match
5.38 shots/match▲Shots on target13/133.92 shots/match
61%Possession13/1346%
3.92 corners/matchCorners13/133.38 corners/match
2.46 cards/matchCards13/132.38 cards/match
15 fouls/matchFouls13/1312.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 7 matches
1.57 goals/match▲Goals scored7/71.29 goals/match
0.43 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/71.14 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.4 shots/match▲Shots7/710 shots/match
6.57 shots/match▲Shots on target7/74.14 shots/match
61.1%Possession7/744.3%
4.14 corners/matchCorners7/73.57 corners/match
2.57 cards/matchCards7/72.14 cards/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls7/712.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.09 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 28 Nov 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsComoSassuolo
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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