PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sat, 29 Nov 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeStadio Luigi FerrarisFull-time recap

Genoa

LLWDD
2–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricGenoaHellas Verona
Shots15 shots/match▲13 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match5 shots/match▲
Possession60%40%
Corners2 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match19 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Genoa's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Genoa's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Genoa's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

14.8 fouls/match▲FoulsGenoa · Hellas Verona17.7 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricGenoaHellas VeronaBaseline
Fouls14.8 fouls/match17.7 fouls/match13.2 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Genoa have recorded the higher season possession share.

49.3%▲PossessionGenoa · Hellas Verona39.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricGenoaHellas VeronaBaseline
Possession49.3%39.6%49.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Genoa favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Hellas Verona in 3 · 7 too close

1 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 13/130.62 goals/match
1.54 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 13/131.54 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
12.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 13/1312.2 shots/match
10.5 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 13/1312.6 shots/match
4.08 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 13/13▲4.69 shots/match
3.92 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 13/134.23 shots/match
49.3%Possessionseason · 13/1339.6%
4 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/133.77 corners/match
4.38 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 13/13▲4.15 corners/match
2.69 cards/matchCardsseason · 13/132.69 cards/match
14.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1317.7 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
15%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/13▲23%
62%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 13/1354%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Genoa47.5
Hellas Verona7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Genoa48.3
Hellas Verona42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Genoa51.7
Hellas Verona35.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Genoa57.5
Hellas Verona97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Genoa86.2
Hellas Verona96.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Genoa45
Hellas Verona32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Genoa58.1
Hellas Verona63.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14 shots/match▲Shots5/59.8 shots/match
4.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54 shots/match
48.8%Possession5/539.2%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/53.2 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards5/53.4 cards/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls5/519.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.7 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.4 shots/match▲Shots10/1011.7 shots/match
4.4 shots/matchShots on target10/104.5 shots/match
49.1%Possession10/1040.2%
3.8 corners/matchCorners10/103.7 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards10/103.1 cards/match
14.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1017.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 13 matches
1 goals/match▲Goals scored13/130.62 goals/match
1.54 goals/matchGoals allowed13/131.54 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.4 shots/matchShots13/1312.2 shots/match
4.08 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲4.69 shots/match
49.3%Possession13/1339.6%
4 corners/matchCorners13/133.77 corners/match
2.69 cards/matchCards13/132.69 cards/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls13/1317.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 7 matches
0.57 goals/match▲Goals scored7/70.43 goals/match
1.29 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/71.71 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.7 shots/match▲Shots7/711.3 shots/match
3.71 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲4.14 shots/match
56%Possession7/737.1%
3.86 corners/matchCorners7/72.71 corners/match
2.29 cards/matchCards7/72.71 cards/match
15.4 fouls/matchFouls7/717.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.1 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Nov 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsGenoaHellas Verona
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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