PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sat, 22 Nov 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeUnipol DomusFull-time recap
3–3Full-time recap

Genoa

DLLWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricCagliariGenoa
Shots11 shots/match13 shots/match▲
Shots on target5 shots/match8 shots/match▲
Possession50%50%
Corners6 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls22 fouls/match16 fouls/match
Yellow cards4 cards/match3 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Genoa's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Cagliari's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Genoa's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Genoa's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.92 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match0.92 goals/match1.09 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cagliari show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Cagliari's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.67 shots/match▲ShotsCagliari · Genoa12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCagliariGenoaBaseline
Shots9.67 shots/match12.2 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against13.2 shots/match10.3 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

16.3 fouls/match▲FoulsCagliari · Genoa15.3 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricCagliariGenoaBaseline
Fouls16.3 fouls/match15.3 fouls/match13.5 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Cagliari favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · Genoa in 5 · 6 too close

1 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 12/120.92 goals/match
1.42 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 12/121.58 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
9.67 shots/matchShotsseason · 12/12▲12.2 shots/match
13.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 12/12▲10.3 shots/match
3.25 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 12/12▲4.08 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 12/12▲3.83 shots/match
44.5%Possessionseason · 12/1248.4%
3.17 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/124.17 corners/match
5.92 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 12/12▲4.5 corners/match
2.42 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 12/122.83 cards/match
16.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1215.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
17%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/1217%
58%Scoring frequencyseason · 12/1258%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Cagliari22.5
Genoa47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Cagliari25
Genoa45
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Cagliari22.5
Genoa53.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Cagliari12.5
Genoa62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Cagliari82.5
Genoa90
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Cagliari17.5
Genoa42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Cagliari36.2
Genoa56.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.6 goals/match
1.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲13.2 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.6 shots/match
46.6%Possession5/545%
3.2 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards5/52.8 cards/match
17.4 fouls/matchFouls5/514.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.1 goals/match
1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.2 shots/matchShots10/10▲13.1 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.6 shots/match
45.6%Possession10/1047.8%
3.5 corners/matchCorners10/104.4 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards10/103.1 cards/match
16.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1015.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

12 / 12 matches
1 goals/match▲Goals scored12/120.92 goals/match
1.42 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/121.58 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.67 shots/matchShots12/12▲12.2 shots/match
3.25 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲4.08 shots/match
44.5%Possession12/1248.4%
3.17 corners/matchCorners12/124.17 corners/match
2.42 cards/matchCards12/122.83 cards/match
16.3 fouls/matchFouls12/1215.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 6 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲1.5 goals/match
1.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/61.83 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.17 shots/matchShots6/6▲10.8 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲4.5 shots/match
46%Possession6/641.5%
3.67 corners/matchCorners6/64.17 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards6/63.17 cards/match
17.2 fouls/matchFouls6/614.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Nov 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsCagliariGenoa
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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