PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sat, 22 Nov 2025, 17:00 UTCFull timeStadio Artemio FranchiFull-time recap
1–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricFiorentinaJuventus
Shots11 shots/match17 shots/match▲
Shots on target2 shots/match4 shots/match▲
Possession41%59%
Corners7 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match18 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Juventus's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Fiorentina's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Juventus show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Juventus's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.6 shots/match▲ShotsFiorentina · Juventus17 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFiorentinaJuventusBaseline
Shots11.6 shots/match17 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against12.8 shots/match11.3 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Fiorentina's recent record differs from the season

weak

Fiorentina's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goals/match0.83 goals/match1.09 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fiorentina have a visible home split

moderate

Fiorentina's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.8 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match11.6 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Fiorentina favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Juventus in 9 · 5 too close

0.83 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 12/12▲1.25 goals/match
1.58 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 12/12▲0.92 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 12/12▲17 shots/match
12.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 12/12▲11.3 shots/match
2.75 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 12/12▲5.5 shots/match
4.92 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 12/12▲2.92 shots/match
50.1%Possessionseason · 12/1258.6%
4.58 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/125.33 corners/match
4.5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 12/12▲4.08 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCardsseason · 12/12▲1.67 cards/match
14.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1212.9 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
17%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/12▲33%
67%Scoring frequencyseason · 12/1267%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Fiorentina57.5
Juventus82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Fiorentina26.7
Juventus87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Fiorentina20
Juventus71.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Fiorentina37.5
Juventus87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Fiorentina70
Juventus28.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Fiorentina62.5
Juventus77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Fiorentina45.6
Juventus75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.2 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲18.6 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲6.2 shots/match
49.8%Possession5/559.4%
5.6 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match
3.2 cards/matchCards5/51.6 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls5/514.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.2 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.9 shots/matchShots10/10▲16.6 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5.5 shots/match
49.1%Possession10/1058.3%
5 corners/matchCorners10/105.4 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards10/101.6 cards/match
14.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

12 / 12 matches
0.83 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲1.25 goals/match
1.58 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲0.92 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.6 shots/matchShots12/12▲17 shots/match
2.75 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲5.5 shots/match
50.1%Possession12/1258.6%
4.58 corners/matchCorners12/125.33 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards12/121.67 cards/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls12/1212.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 6 matches
1 goals/match▲Goals scored6/60.83 goals/match
1.83 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.8 shots/matchShots6/614 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲4 shots/match
48.5%Possession6/658.5%
4.83 corners/matchCorners6/63.17 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards6/62.17 cards/match
14.5 fouls/matchFouls6/615 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Nov 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsFiorentinaJuventus
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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