Serie A · 2025Sat, 22 Nov 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeBluenergy Stadium - Stadio FriuliFull-time recap

Udinese

DWLWL
03Full-time recap

Bologna

WDDWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricUdineseBologna
Shots12 shots/match10 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match5 shots/match
Possession47%53%
Corners7 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls19 fouls/match16 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Udinese's last-five shots average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Bologna have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Udinese's recent record differs from the season

weak

Udinese's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9.8 shots/matchShotsLast 5 · Season11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9.8 shots/match11.6 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Bologna have recorded the higher season possession share.

47%PossessionUdinese · Bologna56.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricUdineseBolognaBaseline
Possession47%56.8%48.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Udinese favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Bologna in 8 · 6 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 12/121.75 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 12/120.67 goals/match
Expected goalsseason · 0/0
Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0
11.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 12/1212.7 shots/match
12.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 12/129.67 shots/match
3.67 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 12/124.08 shots/match
4.08 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 12/122.83 shots/match
47%Possessionseason · 12/1256.8%
4.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/125.17 corners/match
5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 12/123.5 corners/match
2 cards/matchCardsseason · 12/122.08 cards/match
13.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1215.1 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
17%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/1250%
75%Scoring frequencyseason · 12/1275%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Udinese42.5
Bologna67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Udinese42.5
Bologna68.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Udinese30.8
Bologna90.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Udinese57.5
Bologna32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Udinese47.5
Bologna67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Udinese57.5
Bologna67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Udinese46.9
Bologna64.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/52 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.6 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
9.8 shots/matchShots5/512 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/54 shots/match
43.2%Possession5/556%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match
14.4 fouls/matchFouls5/515.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/102 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed10/100.7 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
11.5 shots/matchShots10/1012.7 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target10/104.5 shots/match
46.9%Possession10/1059.6%
4.7 corners/matchCorners10/105.1 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards10/102 cards/match
14.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1015.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

12 / 12 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored12/121.75 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed12/120.67 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
11.6 shots/matchShots12/1212.7 shots/match
3.67 shots/matchShots on target12/124.08 shots/match
47%Possession12/1256.8%
4.5 corners/matchCorners12/125.17 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards12/122.08 cards/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls12/1215.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 7 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored6/71.71 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed6/71 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
13 shots/matchShots6/711 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target6/74 shots/match
49%Possession6/757.6%
4.83 corners/matchCorners6/75.29 corners/match
1.5 cards/matchCards6/72.43 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFouls6/716.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

12.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Nov 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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