PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Allianz Stadium

Juventus 2–1 Cagliari · Serie A

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Juventus won 2–1.

Shots
145
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
1.710.54
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Juventus beat Cagliari 2–1. Recorded in this match (Juventus – Cagliari): shots 14–5, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 1.71–0.54, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Juventus show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Juventus's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.8 shots/match ▲ShotsJuventus · Cagliari9.31 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricJuventusCagliariBaseline
Shots16.8 shots/match9.31 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against10.8 shots/match13.2 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Juventus's recent record differs from the season

weak

Juventus's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.31 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.31 goals/match1.12 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Juventus have recorded the higher season possession share.

58.5% ●PossessionJuventus · Cagliari44.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricJuventusCagliariBaseline
Possession58.5%44.4%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots5 shotsJuventus 14 shots, Cagliari 5 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsJuventus 6 shots, Cagliari 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.71 xG0.54 xGJuventus 1.71 xG, Cagliari 0.54 xG
  • Possession57%43%Juventus 57%, Cagliari 43%
  • Corners1 corner6 cornersJuventus 1 corner, Cagliari 6 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls16 foulsJuventus 16 fouls, Cagliari 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card5 cardsJuventus 1 card, Cagliari 5 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Michael Folorunsho · Cagliari · 47′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Conceição · Juventus · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTeun Koopmeiners · Juventus · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRiyad Idrissi · Cagliari · 58′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAndrea Cambiaso · Juventus · 89′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 29′ · 0.05 xG · on targetFrancisco Conceição · Juventus · 32′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMattia Felici · Cagliari · 88′ · 0.06 xG · on targetFrancisco Conceição · Juventus · 7′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedWeston McKennie · Juventus · 37′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Conceição · Juventus · 52′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMarco Palestra · Cagliari · 23′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKenan Yıldız · Juventus · 27′ · 0.08 xG · goalFrancisco Conceição · Juventus · 78′ · 0.08 xG · on targetTeun Koopmeiners · Juventus · 52′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Conceição · Juventus · 72′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedSebastiano Esposito · Cagliari · 26′ · 0.30 xG · goalKenan Yıldız · Juventus · 45′ · 0.38 xG · goalFrancisco Conceição · Juventus · 47′ · 0.46 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Juventus: 14 shots, 6 on target, 1.69 xG. Cagliari: 5 shots, 3 on target, 0.49 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Kenan Yıldız · Juventus · 27′Kenan Yıldız · Juventus · 45′Sebastiano Esposito · Cagliari · 26′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Juventus 1.69 xG · Cagliari 0.49 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Juventus
2Draws
0Cagliari
Cagliari — Juventus · Serie A0–1
Juventus — Cagliari · Serie A1–1
Cagliari — Juventus · Serie A2–2
Juventus — Cagliari · Serie A2–1
Cagliari — Juventus · Serie A1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Juventus favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Cagliari in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Juventus13 matchesCagliari13 matches
1.31 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/131 goal/match
0.92 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/131.46 goals/match
1.48 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/130.86 xG/match
16.8 shots/match ▲Shots13/139.31 shots/match
5.54 shots/match ▲Shots on target13/133.23 shots/match
58.5% ●Possession13/1344.4%
5 corners/match ●Corners13/133.38 corners/match
1.62 cards/matchCards13/132.62 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls13/1316.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Nov 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsJuventusCagliari
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headJuventus — Cagliari
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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