PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sat, 29 Nov 2025, 17:00 UTCFull timeAllianz StadiumFull-time recap
2–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricJuventusCagliari
Shots14 shots/match▲5 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Possession57%43%
Corners1 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls16 fouls/match16 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match▲5 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Juventus's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Juventus's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Juventus show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Juventus's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.8 shots/match▲ShotsJuventus · Cagliari9.31 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricJuventusCagliariBaseline
Shots16.8 shots/match9.31 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against10.8 shots/match13.2 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Juventus's recent record differs from the season

weak

Juventus's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.31 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.31 goals/match1.12 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Juventus have recorded the higher season possession share.

58.5%▲PossessionJuventus · Cagliari44.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricJuventusCagliariBaseline
Possession58.5%44.4%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Juventus favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Cagliari in 0 · 4 too close

1.31 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 13/131 goals/match
0.92 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 13/131.46 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
16.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 13/139.31 shots/match
10.8 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 13/1313.2 shots/match
5.54 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 13/133.23 shots/match
2.92 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 13/135.08 shots/match
58.5%Possessionseason · 13/1344.4%
5 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/133.38 corners/match
4.23 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 13/135.54 corners/match
1.62 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 13/132.62 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1316.2 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
31%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/1315%
69%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 13/1362%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Juventus82.5
Cagliari27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Juventus87.5
Cagliari23.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Juventus75.8
Cagliari24.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Juventus87.5
Cagliari7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Juventus30
Cagliari90
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Juventus70
Cagliari20
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Juventus76.9
Cagliari36.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
18.6 shots/match▲Shots5/59 shots/match
6.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.2 shots/match
58.8%Possession5/542.6%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match
1 cards/matchCards5/53.2 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls5/518.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored10/101 goals/match
0.9 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.7 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
16.8 shots/match▲Shots10/108.5 shots/match
5.7 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103 shots/match
59.9%Possession10/1044.8%
5 corners/matchCorners10/103.7 corners/match
1.5 cards/matchCards10/102.6 cards/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1016.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 13 matches
1.31 goals/match▲Goals scored13/131 goals/match
0.92 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/131.46 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
16.8 shots/match▲Shots13/139.31 shots/match
5.54 shots/match▲Shots on target13/133.23 shots/match
58.5%Possession13/1344.4%
5 corners/matchCorners13/133.38 corners/match
1.62 cards/matchCards13/132.62 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls13/1316.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 7 matches
1.71 goals/match▲Goals scored7/70.86 goals/match
0.86 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/71.29 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
19.1 shots/match▲Shots7/79.43 shots/match
6.86 shots/match▲Shots on target7/73.14 shots/match
58.4%Possession7/743%
6.57 corners/matchCorners7/73.14 corners/match
1.14 cards/matchCards7/72.57 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls7/715.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.12 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Nov 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsJuventusCagliari
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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