Serie A · 2025Sun, 23 Nov 2025, 11:30 UTCFull timeStadio Marcantonio BentegodiFull-time recap

Hellas Verona

DDLLD

1–2Full-time recap

Parma

DDLLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Hellas Verona	Parma
Shots	10 shots/match	15 shots/match▲
Shots on target	2 shots/match	7 shots/match▲
Possession	59%	41%
Corners	4 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	24 fouls/match	6 fouls/match
Yellow cards	4 cards/match	3 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Hellas Verona's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Hellas Verona's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Hellas Verona's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.58 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1 goals/match	0.58 goals/match	1.09 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Hellas Verona favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · Parma in 3 · 8 too close

0.58 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 12/12▲0.75 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 12/12▲1.25 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

12.1 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 12/1210.4 shots/match

12.4 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 12/1213.4 shots/match

4.67 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 12/123.08 shots/match

4.25 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 12/124.33 shots/match

39.6%Possessionseason · 12/1241.5%

3.83 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/123.08 corners/match

4.33 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 12/124.5 corners/match

2.67 cards/matchCardsseason · 12/12▲2.33 cards/match

17.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1211.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/1225%

50%Scoring frequencyseason · 12/1250%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Hellas Verona7.5

Parma12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Hellas Verona42.5

Parma20.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Hellas Verona34.2

Parma37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Hellas Verona97.5

Parma57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Hellas Verona95

Parma42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Hellas Verona32.5

Parma12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Hellas Verona63.8

Parma18.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.2 goals/match

1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.6 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

9.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲10.8 shots/match

4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/54 shots/match

38.6%Possession5/537.6%

3.2 corners/matchCorners5/52.8 corners/match

3.4 cards/matchCards5/52.6 cards/match

19 fouls/matchFouls5/510.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

0.6 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲0.8 goals/match

1.3 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.2 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

12.4 shots/match▲Shots10/1011 shots/match

4.9 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.2 shots/match

40.8%Possession10/1041.6%

4.4 corners/matchCorners10/103 corners/match

3 cards/matchCards10/102.4 cards/match

17.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

12 / 12 matches

0.58 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲0.75 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲1.25 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

12.1 shots/match▲Shots12/1210.4 shots/match

4.67 shots/match▲Shots on target12/123.08 shots/match

39.6%Possession12/1241.5%

3.83 corners/matchCorners12/123.08 corners/match

2.67 cards/matchCards12/122.33 cards/match

17.6 fouls/matchFouls12/1211.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 6 matches

0.83 goals/match▲Goals scored6/60.5 goals/match

1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲1.17 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

13.2 shots/match▲Shots6/610.7 shots/match

5.33 shots/match▲Shots on target6/63.67 shots/match

42.5%Possession6/640.8%

5 corners/matchCorners6/63.33 corners/match

2.67 cards/matchCards6/62.67 cards/match

17.7 fouls/matchFouls6/611.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114.7 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples12 / 12home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Nov 2025, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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