PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi

Hellas Verona 1–2 Parma · Serie A

1–2Historical match

Parma

DDLLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Parma won 1–2.

Shots
1015
Shots on target
27
Expected goals
0.631.44
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Parma beat Hellas Verona 2–1. Recorded in this match (Hellas Verona – Parma): shots 10–15, shots on target 2–7, expected goals 0.63–1.44, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Hellas Verona's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Hellas Verona's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.58 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.58 goals/match1.09 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots15 shotsHellas Verona 10 shots, Parma 15 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots7 shotsHellas Verona 2 shots, Parma 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.63 xG1.44 xGHellas Verona 0.63 xG, Parma 1.44 xG
  • Possession59%41%Hellas Verona 59%, Parma 41%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersHellas Verona 4 corners, Parma 4 corners
  • Fouls24 fouls6 foulsHellas Verona 24 fouls, Parma 6 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards3 cardsHellas Verona 4 cards, Parma 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mateo Pellegrino · Parma · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetGiovane · Hellas Verona · 1′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMandela Keita · Parma · 50′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLautaro Valenti · Parma · 71′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGift Orban · Hellas Verona · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMateo Pellegrino · Parma · 64′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Bernede · Hellas Verona · 30′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAdrián Bernabé · Parma · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGift Orban · Hellas Verona · 12′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOliver Sørensen · Parma · 14′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOliver Sørensen · Parma · 49′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Cutrone · Parma · 51′ · 0.05 xG · on targetGiovane · Hellas Verona · 58′ · 0.05 xG · on targetPatrick Cutrone · Parma · 62′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMateo Pellegrino · Parma · 65′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMartin Frese · Hellas Verona · 69′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGift Orban · Hellas Verona · 12′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Mosquera · Hellas Verona · 72′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAdrián Bernabé · Parma · 63′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMateo Pellegrino · Parma · 56′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedGiovane · Hellas Verona · 65′ · 0.14 xG · goalJean-Daniel Akpa Akpro · Hellas Verona · 2′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedMateo Pellegrino · Parma · 18′ · 0.22 xG · goalOliver Sørensen · Parma · 18′ · 0.38 xG · off target or blockedMateo Pellegrino · Parma · 80′ · 0.38 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Hellas Verona: 10 shots, 2 on target, 0.65 xG. Parma: 15 shots, 7 on target, 1.52 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Giovane · Hellas Verona · 65′Mateo Pellegrino · Parma · 18′Mateo Pellegrino · Parma · 80′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Hellas Verona 0.65 xG · Parma 1.52 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Hellas Verona
1Draws
0Parma
Hellas Verona — Parma · Serie A0–0
Parma — Hellas Verona · Serie A2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Hellas Verona favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Parma in 2 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Hellas Verona12 matchesParma12 matches
0.58 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲ 0.75 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲ 1.25 goals/match
1.11 xG/match ▲Expected goals12/120.97 xG/match
12.1 shots/match ▲Shots12/1210.4 shots/match
4.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target12/123.08 shots/match
39.6%Possession12/12● 41.5%
3.83 corners/match ●Corners12/123.08 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards12/122.33 cards/match
17.5 fouls/matchFouls12/1211.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Nov 2025, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsHellas VeronaParma
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headHellas Verona — Parma
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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