PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sun, 23 Nov 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeStadio Giovanni ZiniFull-time recap
1–3Full-time recap

AS Roma

LWWLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricCremoneseAS Roma
Shots9 shots/match12 shots/match▲
Shots on target4 shots/match6 shots/match▲
Possession50%50%
Corners3 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match16 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: AS Roma's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: AS Roma's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

AS Roma's recent record differs from the season

moderate

AS Roma's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.25 goals/match1.09 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

AS Roma show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

AS Roma's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

8.17 shots/match▲ShotsCremonese · AS Roma14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCremoneseAS RomaBaseline
Shots8.17 shots/match14.2 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against16.1 shots/match10.4 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

AS Roma have recorded the higher season possession share.

46.3%▲PossessionCremonese · AS Roma58.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCremoneseAS RomaBaseline
Possession46.3%58.6%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Cremonese favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · AS Roma in 9 · 5 too close

1.08 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 12/12▲1.25 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 12/12▲0.5 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
8.17 shots/matchShotsseason · 12/12▲14.2 shots/match
16.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 12/12▲10.4 shots/match
3.17 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 12/12▲5.25 shots/match
5.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 12/12▲3.5 shots/match
46.3%Possessionseason · 12/1258.6%
2.92 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/125.75 corners/match
6.33 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 12/12▲3.58 corners/match
2.17 cards/matchCardsseason · 12/12▲1.92 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1214.5 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/12▲50%
75%Scoring frequencyseason · 12/1275%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Cremonese37.5
AS Roma85
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Cremonese24.2
AS Roma78.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Cremonese13.3
AS Roma84.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Cremonese2.5
AS Roma47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Cremonese42.5
AS Roma60
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Cremonese2.5
AS Roma85
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Cremonese12.5
AS Roma81.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.6 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲15.6 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲6 shots/match
48.8%Possession5/558%
3 corners/matchCorners5/56.2 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls5/513.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.3 goals/match
1.3 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8.3 shots/matchShots10/10▲14.6 shots/match
2.9 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5.4 shots/match
47.8%Possession10/1058.3%
2.8 corners/matchCorners10/106 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards10/102.1 cards/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

12 / 12 matches
1.08 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲1.25 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲0.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8.17 shots/matchShots12/12▲14.2 shots/match
3.17 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲5.25 shots/match
46.3%Possession12/1258.6%
2.92 corners/matchCorners12/125.75 corners/match
2.17 cards/matchCards12/121.92 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls12/1214.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 6 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲1.33 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲0.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8.67 shots/matchShots6/6▲13 shots/match
3.67 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲5.67 shots/match
47%Possession6/657.8%
3.33 corners/matchCorners6/66 corners/match
2.17 cards/matchCards6/62.33 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls6/616.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

15.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113.9 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Nov 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsCremoneseAS Roma
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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