PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sun, 23 Nov 2025, 17:00 UTCFull timeStadio OlimpicoFull-time recap

Lazio

DWDWL
2–0Full-time recap

Lecce

DLLWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLazioLecce
Shots19 shots/match▲5 shots/match
Shots on target9 shots/match▲1 shots/match
Possession67%33%
Corners8 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls8 fouls/match13 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Lazio's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: Lazio's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Lazio have a visible home split

moderate

Lazio's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.5 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match10.9 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Lazio's recent record differs from the season

weak

Lazio's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goals/match1.25 goals/match1.09 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Lazio favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Lecce in 1 · 6 too close

1.25 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 12/120.67 goals/match
0.75 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 12/121.33 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
10.9 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 12/129.5 shots/match
13.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 12/12▲12.3 shots/match
4.08 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 12/122.92 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 12/124.42 shots/match
50.5%Possessionseason · 12/1244.1%
3.42 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/125 corners/match
4.33 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 12/125.25 corners/match
1.58 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 12/121.75 cards/match
10.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1212.6 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
58%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/1242%
50%Scoring frequencyseason · 12/1250%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Lazio62.5
Lecce22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Lazio50.8
Lecce9.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Lazio46.7
Lecce38.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Lazio12.5
Lecce7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Lazio13.8
Lecce30
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Lazio27.5
Lecce67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Lazio31.2
Lecce28.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match
0.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.8 shots/match▲Shots5/59.4 shots/match
5.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.2 shots/match
53%Possession5/545.2%
3.8 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match
1.2 cards/matchCards5/51.4 cards/match
10 fouls/matchFouls5/513.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.1 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.8 goals/match
0.7 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.4 shots/matchShots10/1010 shots/match
4.2 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.3 shots/match
49.9%Possession10/1044.3%
3.3 corners/matchCorners10/104.9 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards10/101.7 cards/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

12 / 12 matches
1.25 goals/match▲Goals scored12/120.67 goals/match
0.75 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/121.33 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.9 shots/match▲Shots12/129.5 shots/match
4.08 shots/match▲Shots on target12/122.92 shots/match
50.5%Possession12/1244.1%
3.42 corners/matchCorners12/125 corners/match
1.58 cards/matchCards12/121.75 cards/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls12/1212.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 6 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored6/60.83 goals/match
0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/61.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.5 shots/match▲Shots6/69.17 shots/match
4.5 shots/match▲Shots on target6/62.33 shots/match
54.3%Possession6/641.2%
5.17 corners/matchCorners6/65.5 corners/match
1.5 cards/matchCards6/61.5 cards/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls6/613.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/115.1 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Nov 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsLazioLecce
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match