PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Stadio Via del Mare

Lecce 2–1 Torino · Serie A

Lecce

LLWDL
2–1Historical match

Torino

WDDDL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lecce won 2–1.

Shots
1015
Shots on target
26
Expected goals
11.74
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lecce beat Torino 2–1. Recorded in this match (Lecce – Torino): shots 10–15, shots on target 2–6, expected goals 1–1.74, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lecce's recent record differs from the season

weak

Lecce's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.77 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.77 goals/match1.12 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots15 shotsLecce 10 shots, Torino 15 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots6 shotsLecce 2 shots, Torino 6 shots
  • Expected goals1 xG1.74 xGLecce 1 xG, Torino 1.74 xG
  • Possession48%52%Lecce 48%, Torino 52%
  • Corners6 corners6 cornersLecce 6 corners, Torino 6 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls22 foulsLecce 16 fouls, Torino 22 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsLecce 2 cards, Torino 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Che Adams · Torino · 41′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMedon Berisha · Lecce · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChe Adams · Torino · 13′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMedon Berisha · Lecce · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKristjan Asllani · Torino · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCesare Casadei · Torino · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNiels Nkounkou · Torino · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKialonda Gaspar · Lecce · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLassana Coulibaly · Lecce · 20′ · 0.04 xG · goalSaúl Coco · Torino · 38′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMarcus Pedersen · Torino · 42′ · 0.04 xG · on targetCesare Casadei · Torino · 40′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCesare Casadei · Torino · 40′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNiels Nkounkou · Torino · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNikola Štulić · Lecce · 53′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Sottil · Lecce · 84′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTete Morente · Lecce · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKristjan Asllani · Torino · 43′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNikola Štulić · Lecce · 28′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKialonda Gaspar · Lecce · 31′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedChe Adams · Torino · 57′ · 0.11 xG · goalDuván Zapata · Torino · 45′ · 0.20 xG · on targetChe Adams · Torino · 15′ · 0.23 xG · on targetLameck Banda · Lecce · 22′ · 0.52 xG · goalKristjan Asllani · Torino · 90′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lecce: 10 shots, 2 on target, 0.98 xG. Torino: 15 shots, 6 on target, 1.75 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Lassana Coulibaly · Lecce · 20′Lameck Banda · Lecce · 22′Che Adams · Torino · 57′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lecce 0.98 xG · Torino 1.75 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Lecce
1Draws
3Torino
Lecce — Torino · Serie A1–0
Torino — Lecce · Serie A0–0
Torino — Lecce · Serie A2–0
Lecce — Torino · Serie A0–1
Lecce — Torino · Serie A0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lecce favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Torino in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lecce13 matchesTorino13 matches
0.77 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲ 0.92 goals/match
1.31 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/131.77 goals/match
0.76 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲ 1.14 xG/match
9.54 shots/matchShots13/13▲ 11.5 shots/match
2.85 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲ 4.08 shots/match
44.4% ●Possession13/1343.3%
5.08 corners/match ●Corners13/134.23 corners/match
1.77 cards/matchCards13/131.77 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls13/1313.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Nov 2025, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLecceTorino
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headLecce — Torino
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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