Bundesliga · 2025Weserstadion

SV Werder Bremen 2–1 VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SV Werder Bremen won 2–1.

Shots
207
Shots on target
74
Expected goals
1.450.57
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Werder Bremen beat VfL Wolfsburg 2–1. Recorded in this match (Werder Bremen – VfL Wolfsburg): shots 20–7, shots on target 7–4, expected goals 1.45–0.57, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Werder Bremen have a visible home split

moderate

Werder Bremen's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15 shots/match12.2 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

VfL Wolfsburg's recent record differs from the season

weak

VfL Wolfsburg's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots7 shotsSV Werder Bremen 20 shots, VfL Wolfsburg 7 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots4 shotsSV Werder Bremen 7 shots, VfL Wolfsburg 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.45 xG0.57 xGSV Werder Bremen 1.45 xG, VfL Wolfsburg 0.57 xG
  • Possession60%40%SV Werder Bremen 60%, VfL Wolfsburg 40%
  • Corners13 corners3 cornersSV Werder Bremen 13 corners, VfL Wolfsburg 3 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls8 foulsSV Werder Bremen 13 fouls, VfL Wolfsburg 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards0 cardsSV Werder Bremen 2 cards, VfL Wolfsburg 0 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Maximilian Arnold · VfL Wolfsburg · 38′ · 0.01 xG · on targetYukinari Sugawara · Werder Bremen · 85′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMarco Grüll · Werder Bremen · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRomano Schmid · Werder Bremen · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAmos Pieper · Werder Bremen · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChristian Eriksen · VfL Wolfsburg · 37′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJens Stage · Werder Bremen · 64′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVictor Okoh Boniface · Werder Bremen · 79′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAmos Pieper · Werder Bremen · 5′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMattias Svanberg · VfL Wolfsburg · 22′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJustin Njinmah · Werder Bremen · 58′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYukinari Sugawara · Werder Bremen · 33′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedChristian Eriksen · VfL Wolfsburg · 40′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRomano Schmid · Werder Bremen · 10′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMarco Grüll · Werder Bremen · 71′ · 0.06 xG · on targetVictor Okoh Boniface · Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAdam Daghim · VfL Wolfsburg · 13′ · 0.07 xG · on targetMattias Svanberg · VfL Wolfsburg · 42′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAmos Pieper · Werder Bremen · 51′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedVictor Okoh Boniface · Werder Bremen · 69′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedVictor Okoh Boniface · Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJens Stage · Werder Bremen · 69′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedVictor Okoh Boniface · Werder Bremen · 73′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Mbangula · Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.13 xG · goalYukinari Sugawara · Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.16 xG · on targetJens Stage · Werder Bremen · 83′ · 0.24 xG · goalMattias Svanberg · VfL Wolfsburg · 28′ · 0.38 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Werder Bremen: 20 shots, 7 on target, 1.46 xG. VfL Wolfsburg: 7 shots, 4 on target, 0.65 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Jens Stage · Werder Bremen · 83′Samuel Mbangula · Werder Bremen · 90′Mattias Svanberg · VfL Wolfsburg · 28′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Werder Bremen 1.46 xG · VfL Wolfsburg 0.65 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2SV Werder Bremen
1Draws
2VfL Wolfsburg
SV Werder Bremen — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga1–2
VfL Wolfsburg — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga2–4
SV Werder Bremen — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga0–2
VfL Wolfsburg — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga2–2
SV Werder Bremen — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SV Werder Bremen favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · VfL Wolfsburg in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SV Werder Bremen10 matchesVfL Wolfsburg10 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored10/101.2 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.8 goals/match
1.35 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/101.24 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots10/1012.1 shots/match
4.7 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/103.7 shots/match
49.7% ●Possession10/1046.3%
4 corners/match ●Corners10/103.8 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards10/101.8 cards/match
9.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 7 Nov 2025, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

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