Bundesliga · 2025Sun, 2 Nov 2025, 16:30 UTCFull timeVolkswagen ArenaFull-time recap

VfL Wolfsburg

LLLLW

2–3Full-time recap

1899 Hoffenheim

LDLWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	VfL Wolfsburg	1899 Hoffenheim
Shots	12 shots/match▲	10 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Possession	48%	52%
Corners	2 corners/match	2 corners/match
Fouls	10 fouls/match	17 fouls/match
Yellow cards	0 cards/match▲	2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: VfL Wolfsburg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

VfL Wolfsburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

VfL Wolfsburg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.22 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.8 goals/match	1.22 goals/match	1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

VfL Wolfsburg favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · 1899 Hoffenheim in 7 · 7 too close

1.22 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 9/9▲2 goals/match

1.78 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 9/9▲1.67 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

12.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 9/913 shots/match

14.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 9/9▲11.6 shots/match

3.67 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 9/9▲5.11 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 9/9▲4.56 shots/match

47%Possessionseason · 9/952.8%

3.89 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/95.56 corners/match

7.44 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 9/9▲5.89 corners/match

2 cards/matchCardsseason · 9/92 cards/match

11.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/915.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

11%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/911%

67%Scoring frequencyseason · 9/9▲89%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

VfL Wolfsburg25

1899 Hoffenheim69.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

VfL Wolfsburg36.1

1899 Hoffenheim71.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

VfL Wolfsburg40.7

1899 Hoffenheim65.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

VfL Wolfsburg63.9

1899 Hoffenheim41.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

VfL Wolfsburg51.4

1899 Hoffenheim73.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

VfL Wolfsburg19.4

1899 Hoffenheim72.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

VfL Wolfsburg36.1

1899 Hoffenheim76.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

13 shots/matchShots5/513.6 shots/match

3.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.8 shots/match

46.4%Possession5/556.2%

3.4 corners/matchCorners5/57 corners/match

1.8 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match

10.8 fouls/matchFouls5/515.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

9 / 9 matches

1.22 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲2 goals/match

1.78 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲1.67 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

12.7 shots/matchShots9/913 shots/match

3.67 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲5.11 shots/match

47%Possession9/952.8%

3.89 corners/matchCorners9/95.56 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards9/92 cards/match

11.7 fouls/matchFouls9/915.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

9 / 9 matches

1.22 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲2 goals/match

1.78 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲1.67 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

12.7 shots/matchShots9/913 shots/match

3.67 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲5.11 shots/match

47%Possession9/952.8%

3.89 corners/matchCorners9/95.56 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards9/92 cards/match

11.7 fouls/matchFouls9/915.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 5 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.6 goals/match

2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.2 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

14 shots/match▲Shots5/511.6 shots/match

4.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.2 shots/match

47.2%Possession5/551.6%

4.2 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match

1.8 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match

11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/515.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.12 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.12 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples9 / 9home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Nov 2025, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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