PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Allianz Arena

FC Bayern München 3–0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga

3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Bayern München won 3–0.

Shots
187
Shots on target
41
Expected goals
2.030.23
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bayern München beat Bayer Leverkusen 3–0. Recorded in this match (Bayern München – Bayer Leverkusen): shots 18–7, shots on target 4–1, expected goals 2.03–0.23, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bayern München show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Bayern München's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19.7 shots/match ▲ShotsBayern München · Bayer Leverkusen13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBayern MünchenBayer LeverkusenBaseline
Shots19.7 shots/match13.2 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against8.22 shots/match12.3 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Bayer Leverkusen have a visible away split

weak

Bayer Leverkusen's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.5 shots/match13.2 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Bayern München's recent record differs from the season

weak

Bayern München's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

3 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season3.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3 goals/match3.67 goals/match1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots7 shotsFC Bayern München 18 shots, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 7 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotFC Bayern München 4 shots, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.03 xG0.23 xGFC Bayern München 2.03 xG, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0.23 xG
  • Possession59%41%FC Bayern München 59%, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 41%
  • Corners10 corners4 cornersFC Bayern München 10 corners, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls3 foulsFC Bayern München 11 fouls, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardFC Bayern München 1 card, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Edmond Tapsoba · Bayer Leverkusen · 7′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLennart Karl · Bayern München · 8′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKonrad Laimer · Bayern München · 21′ · 0.02 xG · on targetTom Bischof · Bayern München · 21′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTom Bischof · Bayern München · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTom Bischof · Bayern München · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · Bayern München · 71′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · Bayern München · 72′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSerge Gnabry · Bayern München · 21′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedChristian Kofane · Bayer Leverkusen · 81′ · 0.05 xG · on targetChristian Kofane · Bayer Leverkusen · 88′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMartin Terrier · Bayer Leverkusen · 74′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSacha Boey · Bayern München · 81′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedArthur · Bayer Leverkusen · 84′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLennart Karl · Bayern München · 15′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLennart Karl · Bayern München · 41′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · Bayern München · 87′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedPatrik Schick · Bayer Leverkusen · 33′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedChristian Kofane · Bayer Leverkusen · 74′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLoïc Badé · Bayern München · 43′ · 0.13 xG · goalRaphaël Guerreiro · Bayern München · 58′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · Bayern München · 83′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedLeon Goretzka · Bayern München · 18′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Jackson · Bayern München · 31′ · 0.38 xG · goalNicolas Jackson · Bayern München · 50′ · 0.45 xG · off target or blockedSerge Gnabry · Bayern München · 25′ · 0.52 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bayern München: 19 shots, 5 on target, 2.49 xG. Bayer Leverkusen: 7 shots, 1 on target, 0.43 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Serge Gnabry · Bayern München · 25′Nicolas Jackson · Bayern München · 31′Loïc Badé · Bayern München · 43′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bayern München 2.49 xG · Bayer Leverkusen 0.43 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2FC Bayern München
2Draws
1Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — FC Bayern München · UEFA Champions League0–2
FC Bayern München — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · UEFA Champions League3–0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga0–0
FC Bayern München — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga1–1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Bayern München favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Bayern München9 matchesBayer 04 Leverkusen9 matches
3.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/92 goals/match
0.44 goals/match ▲Goals allowed9/91.56 goals/match
2.79 xG/match ▲Expected goals9/91.72 xG/match
19.7 shots/match ▲Shots9/913.2 shots/match
8.89 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/94.78 shots/match
64% ●Possession9/956.6%
5.78 corners/match ●Corners9/93.78 corners/match
2.33 cards/matchCards9/93 cards/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls9/99.67 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Nov 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC Bayern MünchenBayer 04 Leverkusen
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2025/26
Head-to-headFC Bayern München — Bayer 04 Leverkusen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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