UEFA Champions League · 2025Tue, 4 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeParc des PrincesFull-time recap

Paris Saint Germain

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1–2Full-time recap

FC Bayern München

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This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Paris Saint Germain	FC Bayern München
Shots	25 shots/match▲	9 shots/match
Shots on target	9 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Expected goals	2.01 xG/match▲	1.45 xG/match
Possession	71%	29%
Corners	9 corners/match	1 corners/match
Fouls	7 fouls/match	9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Paris Saint Germain: 25 shots, 9 on target, 1.99 xG. FC Bayern München: 9 shots, 5 on target, 1.51 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Paris Saint Germain 1.99 xG · FC Bayern München 1.51 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Paris Saint Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Paris Saint Germain show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Paris Saint Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

21.5 shots/match▲ShotsParis Saint Germain · FC Bayern München19.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Paris Saint Germain	FC Bayern München	Baseline
Shots	21.5 shots/match	19.3 shots/match	13.3 shots/match
Shots against	8.5 shots/match	11.3 shots/match	13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

7 corners/match▲CornersParis Saint Germain · FC Bayern München5.5 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Paris Saint Germain	FC Bayern München	Baseline
Corners	7 corners/match	5.5 corners/match	4.68 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Paris Saint Germain have recorded the higher season possession share.

65.5%▲PossessionParis Saint Germain · FC Bayern München53.8%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.8 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Paris Saint Germain	FC Bayern München	Baseline
Possession	65.5%	53.8%	49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Paris Saint Germain favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · FC Bayern München in 0 · 14 too close

3.5 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/43.5 goals/match

1.25 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/40.75 goals/match

2.49 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/43.07 xG/match

1.44 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/40.85 xG/match

21.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/419.3 shots/match

8.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/411.3 shots/match

9.25 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/49.5 shots/match

3.25 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/44 shots/match

65.5%Possessionseason · 4/453.8%

7 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/45.5 corners/match

2.25 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/43.5 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/411 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/425%

100%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/4100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Paris Saint Germain96.4

FC Bayern München67.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Paris Saint Germain95.7

FC Bayern München94.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Paris Saint Germain80.3

FC Bayern München73.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Paris Saint Germain77.4

FC Bayern München91.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Paris Saint Germain8.3

FC Bayern München45.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Paris Saint Germain92.9

FC Bayern München76.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Paris Saint Germain72.9

FC Bayern München77.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

4 / 4 matches

3.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/43.5 goals/match

1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲0.75 goals/match

2.49 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲3.07 xG/match

21.5 shots/match▲Shots4/419.3 shots/match

9.25 shots/matchShots on target4/49.5 shots/match

65.5%Possession4/453.8%

7 corners/matchCorners4/45.5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8 fouls/matchFouls4/411 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

4 / 4 matches

3.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/43.5 goals/match

1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲0.75 goals/match

2.49 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲3.07 xG/match

21.5 shots/match▲Shots4/419.3 shots/match

9.25 shots/matchShots on target4/49.5 shots/match

65.5%Possession4/453.8%

7 corners/matchCorners4/45.5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8 fouls/matchFouls4/411 fouls/match

Window

Season

4 / 4 matches

3.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/43.5 goals/match

1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲0.75 goals/match

2.49 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲3.07 xG/match

21.5 shots/match▲Shots4/419.3 shots/match

9.25 shots/matchShots on target4/49.5 shots/match

65.5%Possession4/453.8%

7 corners/matchCorners4/45.5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8 fouls/matchFouls4/411 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples4 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Wed, 5 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4