UEFA Champions League · 2025Tue, 4 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeGeorgios KaraiskakisFull-time recap
11Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricOlympiacos FCPSV Eindhoven
Shots18 shots/match10 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals0.92 xG/match0.35 xG/match
Possession40%60%
Corners3 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls7 fouls/match9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Dennis Man · PSV Eindhoven · 21′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedChristos Mouzakitis · Olympiacos FC · 67′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMyron Boadu · PSV Eindhoven · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMauro Júnior · PSV Eindhoven · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedChiquinho · Olympiacos FC · 6′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDani García · Olympiacos FC · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAyoub El Kaabi · Olympiacos FC · 42′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Podence · Olympiacos FC · 73′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJoey Veerman · PSV Eindhoven · 2′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGelson Martins · Olympiacos FC · 34′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGelson Martins · Olympiacos FC · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGelson Martins · Olympiacos FC · 74′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoey Veerman · PSV Eindhoven · 78′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedChiquinho · Olympiacos FC · 27′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPaul Wanner · PSV Eindhoven · 72′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCouhaib Driouech · PSV Eindhoven · 78′ · 0.04 xG · on targetGelson Martins · Olympiacos FC · 17′ · 0.05 xG · goalLorenzo Pirola · Olympiacos FC · 30′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDani García · Olympiacos FC · 61′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGelson Martins · Olympiacos FC · 5′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedChiquinho · Olympiacos FC · 20′ · 0.06 xG · on targetIvan Perišić · PSV Eindhoven · 48′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGelson Martins · Olympiacos FC · 66′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRicardo Pepi · PSV Eindhoven · 90′ · 0.06 xG · goalDennis Man · PSV Eindhoven · 36′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedChiquinho · Olympiacos FC · 30′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedChiquinho · Olympiacos FC · 31′ · 0.12 xG · on targetGelson Martins · Olympiacos FC · 87′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Olympiacos FC: 18 shots, 4 on target, 0.92 xG. PSV Eindhoven: 10 shots, 2 on target, 0.37 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Gelson Martins · Olympiacos FC · 17′Ricardo Pepi · PSV Eindhoven · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Olympiacos FC 0.92 xG · PSV Eindhoven 0.37 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: PSV Eindhoven have recorded the higher season possession share. A second useful context is: PSV Eindhoven's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

PSV Eindhoven have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.8%PossessionOlympiacos FC · PSV Eindhoven59%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricOlympiacos FCPSV EindhovenBaseline
Possession43.8%59%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

PSV Eindhoven show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

PSV Eindhoven's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.8 shots/matchShotsOlympiacos FC · PSV Eindhoven11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricOlympiacos FCPSV EindhovenBaseline
Shots12.8 shots/match11.3 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against11.5 shots/match15 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Olympiacos FC favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · PSV Eindhoven in 0 · 14 too close

0.5 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/42.25 goals/match
2.25 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/41.75 goals/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41.54 xG/match
1.51 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/41.84 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/411.3 shots/match
11.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/415 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/43.5 shots/match
3.75 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/44.5 shots/match
43.8%Possessionseason · 4/459%
4.75 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/45.25 corners/match
4 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/46.25 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
12.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/410 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/40%
50%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/4100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Olympiacos FC15.5
PSV Eindhoven89.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Olympiacos FC21.4
PSV Eindhoven42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Olympiacos FC50.6
PSV Eindhoven36.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Olympiacos FC56
PSV Eindhoven6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Olympiacos FC70.2
PSV Eindhoven23.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Olympiacos FC53.6
PSV Eindhoven69
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Olympiacos FC45.5
PSV Eindhoven35.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

4 / 4 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/42.25 goals/match
2.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/41.75 goals/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goals4/41.54 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots4/411.3 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target4/43.5 shots/match
43.8%Possession4/459%
4.75 corners/matchCorners4/45.25 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.3 fouls/matchFouls4/410 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

4 / 4 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/42.25 goals/match
2.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/41.75 goals/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goals4/41.54 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots4/411.3 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target4/43.5 shots/match
43.8%Possession4/459%
4.75 corners/matchCorners4/45.25 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.3 fouls/matchFouls4/410 fouls/match

Window

Season

4 / 4 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/42.25 goals/match
2.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/41.75 goals/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goals4/41.54 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots4/411.3 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target4/43.5 shots/match
43.8%Possession4/459%
4.75 corners/matchCorners4/45.25 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.3 fouls/matchFouls4/410 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 5 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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