PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2025Tue, 4 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeAspmyra StadionFull-time recap
0–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBodø/GlimtMonaco
Shots17 shots/match▲9 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Expected goals1.67 xG/match▲1.18 xG/match
Possession64%36%
Corners4 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match16 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Jens Petter Hauge · Bodø/Glimt · 55′ · 0.01 xG · on targetSondre Fet · Bodø/Glimt · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Berg · Bodø/Glimt · 8′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedThilo Kehrer · Monaco · 19′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKasper Høgh · Bodø/Glimt · 21′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Berg · Bodø/Glimt · 32′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Berg · Bodø/Glimt · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKasper Høgh · Bodø/Glimt · 53′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKasper Høgh · Bodø/Glimt · 58′ · 0.06 xG · on targetFredrik Sjøvold · Bodø/Glimt · 36′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKasper Høgh · Bodø/Glimt · 52′ · 0.07 xG · on targetFredrik André Bjørkan · Bodø/Glimt · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSondre Auklend · Bodø/Glimt · 47′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Coulibaly · Monaco · 87′ · 0.08 xG · on targetFolarin Balogun · Monaco · 26′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedFredrik Sjøvold · Bodø/Glimt · 47′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Berg · Bodø/Glimt · 52′ · 0.10 xG · on targetKassoum Ouattara · Monaco · 79′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMika Biereth · Monaco · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMaghnes Akliouche · Monaco · 13′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedTakumi Minamino · Monaco · 28′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedFolarin Balogun · Monaco · 43′ · 0.15 xG · goalKasper Høgh · Bodø/Glimt · 69′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedKasper Høgh · Bodø/Glimt · 45′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedMaghnes Akliouche · Monaco · 23′ · 0.38 xG · off target or blockedJostein Gundersen · Bodø/Glimt · 60′ · 0.45 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bodø/Glimt: 17 shots, 4 on target, 1.69 xG. Monaco: 9 shots, 2 on target, 1.20 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Folarin Balogun · Monaco · 43′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bodø/Glimt 1.69 xG · Monaco 1.20 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Bodø/Glimt's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Bodø/Glimt's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Bodø/Glimt's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bodø/Glimt's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.83 goals/match1.67 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bodø/Glimt have a visible home split

weak

Bodø/Glimt's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.3 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.3 shots/match13.5 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Bodø/Glimt show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Bodø/Glimt's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.5 shots/match▲ShotsBodø/Glimt · Monaco13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBodø/GlimtMonacoBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against15.3 shots/match18 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Bodø/Glimt favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Monaco in 0 · 14 too close

1.83 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 6/41 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 6/41.5 goals/match
2.03 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41.63 xG/match
2.62 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/41.81 xG/match
13.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 6/413.3 shots/match
15.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 6/418 shots/match
5.17 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 6/44.5 shots/match
6 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 6/45.5 shots/match
56.5%Possessionseason · 6/443%
4.83 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/45.25 corners/match
4.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 6/43.75 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
11.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/414.8 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
17%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/450%
83%Scoring frequencyseason · 6/475%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Bodø/Glimt79.8
Monaco13.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Bodø/Glimt59
Monaco39.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Bodø/Glimt24.5
Monaco27.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Bodø/Glimt32.1
Monaco63.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Bodø/Glimt48.8
Monaco82.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Bodø/Glimt56
Monaco69
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Bodø/Glimt54.5
Monaco60.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 4 matches
1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/41 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/4▲1.5 goals/match
2.03 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.63 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots5/413.3 shots/match
5 shots/match▲Shots on target5/44.5 shots/match
56.2%Possession5/443%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/45.25 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.2 fouls/matchFouls5/414.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

6 / 4 matches
1.83 goals/match▲Goals scored6/41 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed6/4▲1.5 goals/match
2.03 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.63 xG/match
13.5 shots/matchShots6/413.3 shots/match
5.17 shots/match▲Shots on target6/44.5 shots/match
56.5%Possession6/443%
4.83 corners/matchCorners6/45.25 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.3 fouls/matchFouls6/414.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

6 / 4 matches
1.83 goals/match▲Goals scored6/41 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed6/4▲1.5 goals/match
2.03 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.63 xG/match
13.5 shots/matchShots6/413.3 shots/match
5.17 shots/match▲Shots on target6/44.5 shots/match
56.5%Possession6/443%
4.83 corners/matchCorners6/45.25 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.3 fouls/matchFouls6/414.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 2 matches
2.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/2—
1 goals/matchGoals allowed3/2—
—Expected goals2/2—
17.3 shots/matchShots3/2—
4.67 shots/matchShots on target3/2—
58%Possession3/2—
4.33 corners/matchCorners3/2—
—Cards0/0—
12.3 fouls/matchFouls3/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples6 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 5 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsBodø/GlimtMonaco
CompetitionUEFA Champions League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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