PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2025Tue, 4 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeTottenham Hotspur StadiumFull-time recap
4–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricTottenham HotspurFC København
Shots14 shots/match▲12 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match▲4 shots/match
Expected goals3.32 xG/match▲0.35 xG/match
Possession61%39%
Corners3 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Junnosuke Suzuki · FC København · 32′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedWilliam Clem · FC København · 74′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDestiny Udogie · Tottenham Hotspur · 17′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJordan Larsson · FC København · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedElias Achouri · FC København · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedViktor Claesson · FC København · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLukas Lerager · FC København · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPape Matar Sarr · Tottenham Hotspur · 27′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRobert · FC København · 81′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRobert · FC København · 88′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJordan Larsson · FC København · 6′ · 0.04 xG · on targetXavi Simons · Tottenham Hotspur · 7′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPedro Porro · Tottenham Hotspur · 16′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYoussoufa Moukoko · FC København · 54′ · 0.04 xG · on targetYoussoufa Moukoko · FC København · 29′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRicharlison · Tottenham Hotspur · 85′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedYoussoufa Moukoko · FC København · 29′ · 0.07 xG · on targetRandal Kolo Muani · Tottenham Hotspur · 40′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMicky van de Ven · Tottenham Hotspur · 64′ · 0.13 xG · goalRicharlison · Tottenham Hotspur · 83′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedRandal Kolo Muani · Tottenham Hotspur · 69′ · 0.18 xG · on targetRandal Kolo Muani · Tottenham Hotspur · 45′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedWilson Odobert · Tottenham Hotspur · 51′ · 0.25 xG · goalBrennan Johnson · Tottenham Hotspur · 19′ · 0.57 xG · goalJoão Palhinha · Tottenham Hotspur · 67′ · 0.72 xG · goalRicharlison · Tottenham Hotspur · 90′ · 0.82 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Tottenham Hotspur: 14 shots, 6 on target, 3.36 xG. FC København: 12 shots, 4 on target, 0.36 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Brennan Johnson · Tottenham Hotspur · 19′Wilson Odobert · Tottenham Hotspur · 51′Micky van de Ven · Tottenham Hotspur · 64′João Palhinha · Tottenham Hotspur · 67′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Tottenham Hotspur 3.36 xG · FC København 0.36 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: FC København's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Tottenham Hotspur's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

FC København's recent record differs from the season

weak

FC København's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.67 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Tottenham Hotspur show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Tottenham Hotspur's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.5 shots/match▲ShotsTottenham Hotspur · FC København11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricTottenham HotspurFC KøbenhavnBaseline
Shots10.5 shots/match11.6 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against15.8 shots/match10.7 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Tottenham Hotspur favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · FC København in 0 · 14 too close

1.75 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/101.5 goals/match
0.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/101.3 goals/match
1.55 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/40.99 xG/match
1.45 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/42.03 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/1011.6 shots/match
15.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/1010.7 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/104.8 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/103.8 shots/match
52.8%Possessionseason · 4/1049%
3.75 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/104.7 corners/match
4.5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/103.4 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
7.75 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/1015.1 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
75%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/1050%
75%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/1070%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Tottenham Hotspur64.3
FC København46.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Tottenham Hotspur28.9
FC København39.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Tottenham Hotspur58.6
FC København67.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Tottenham Hotspur13.1
FC København29.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Tottenham Hotspur6
FC København84.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Tottenham Hotspur23.8
FC København51.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Tottenham Hotspur14.9
FC København52.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

4 / 5 matches
1.75 goals/match▲Goals scored4/51.2 goals/match
0.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/52.4 goals/match
1.55 xG/match▲Expected goals4/40.99 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShots4/5▲11.6 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target4/5▲5.2 shots/match
52.8%Possession4/541%
3.75 corners/matchCorners4/54.8 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
7.75 fouls/matchFouls4/516 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

4 / 10 matches
1.75 goals/match▲Goals scored4/101.5 goals/match
0.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/101.3 goals/match
1.55 xG/match▲Expected goals4/40.99 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShots4/10▲11.6 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target4/10▲4.8 shots/match
52.8%Possession4/1049%
3.75 corners/matchCorners4/104.7 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
7.75 fouls/matchFouls4/1015.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

4 / 10 matches
1.75 goals/match▲Goals scored4/101.5 goals/match
0.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/101.3 goals/match
1.55 xG/match▲Expected goals4/40.99 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShots4/10▲11.6 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target4/10▲4.8 shots/match
52.8%Possession4/1049%
3.75 corners/matchCorners4/104.7 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
7.75 fouls/matchFouls4/1015.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 5 matches
—Goals scored2/50.4 goals/match
—Goals allowed2/51.4 goals/match
—Expected goals2/2—
—Shots2/510.8 shots/match
—Shots on target2/53.4 shots/match
—Possession2/551.4%
—Corners2/55.6 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
—Fouls2/515.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples4 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 5 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsTottenham HotspurFC København
CompetitionUEFA Champions League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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