UEFA Champions League · 2025Tue, 4 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeCívitas MetropolitanoFull-time recap

Atlético Madrid

LWL

3–1Full-time recap

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise

WLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Atlético Madrid	Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Shots	14 shots/match▲	8 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	2.3 xG/match▲	1.11 xG/match
Possession	67%	33%
Corners	9 corners/match	1 corners/match
Fouls	10 fouls/match	13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Atlético Madrid: 14 shots, 6 on target, 2.47 xG. Royale Union Saint-Gilloise: 8 shots, 3 on target, 1.13 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atlético Madrid 2.47 xG · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 1.13 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Atlético Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Atlético Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share.

52.8%▲PossessionAtlético Madrid · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise35.8%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.0 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Atlético Madrid	Royale Union Saint-Gilloise	Baseline
Possession	52.8%	35.8%	49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Atlético Madrid favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise in 0 · 14 too close

2.5 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/41 goals/match

2.25 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/43 goals/match

2.01 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41.57 xG/match

1.64 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/43.03 xG/match

13.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/414.5 shots/match

13.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/414.5 shots/match

5.75 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/45.75 shots/match

4.75 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/45.5 shots/match

52.8%Possessionseason · 4/435.8%

6 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/44.5 corners/match

3.25 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/46.25 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/413 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/40%

75%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/450%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Atlético Madrid64.3

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise1.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Atlético Madrid67.8

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise52.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Atlético Madrid36.7

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise24.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Atlético Madrid44

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise96.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Atlético Madrid23.8

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise77.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Atlético Madrid84.5

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise40.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Atlético Madrid56.8

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

4 / 4 matches

2.5 goals/match▲Goals scored4/41 goals/match

2.25 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/43 goals/match

2.01 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.57 xG/match

13.3 shots/matchShots4/4▲14.5 shots/match

5.75 shots/matchShots on target4/45.75 shots/match

52.8%Possession4/435.8%

6 corners/matchCorners4/44.5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10 fouls/matchFouls4/413 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

4 / 4 matches

2.5 goals/match▲Goals scored4/41 goals/match

2.25 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/43 goals/match

2.01 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.57 xG/match

13.3 shots/matchShots4/4▲14.5 shots/match

5.75 shots/matchShots on target4/45.75 shots/match

52.8%Possession4/435.8%

6 corners/matchCorners4/44.5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10 fouls/matchFouls4/413 fouls/match

Window

Season

4 / 4 matches

2.5 goals/match▲Goals scored4/41 goals/match

2.25 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/43 goals/match

2.01 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.57 xG/match

13.3 shots/matchShots4/4▲14.5 shots/match

5.75 shots/matchShots on target4/45.75 shots/match

52.8%Possession4/435.8%

6 corners/matchCorners4/44.5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10 fouls/matchFouls4/413 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples4 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Wed, 5 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

Shot map

Expected-goals timeline

What the record shows

The teams have contrasting possession records

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

Make a graphic from this match