PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sat, 1 Nov 2025, 15:15 UTCFull timeMetropolitano StadiumFull-time recap
3–0Full-time recap

Sevilla

LWWLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAtletico MadridSevilla
Shots15 shots/match▲10 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Possession47%53%
Corners9 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match12 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Atletico Madrid's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Sevilla's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Atletico Madrid's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atletico Madrid's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.91 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.91 goals/match1.1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sevilla show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Sevilla's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.1 shots/match▲ShotsAtletico Madrid · Sevilla10.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtletico MadridSevillaBaseline
Shots13.1 shots/match10.5 shots/match11.5 shots/match
Shots against9.55 shots/match11.8 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Atletico Madrid favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Sevilla in 0 · 4 too close

1.91 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 11/111.55 goals/match
0.91 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 11/111.73 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13.1 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 11/1110.5 shots/match
9.55 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 11/1111.8 shots/match
5.55 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 11/113.09 shots/match
2.82 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 11/115 shots/match
53.1%Possessionseason · 11/1152.9%
6.27 corners/matchCornersseason · 11/114.64 corners/match
2.91 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 11/115.73 corners/match
2.09 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 11/113.18 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/1115.5 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
36%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/1118%
100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 11/1191%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Atletico Madrid77.5
Sevilla72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Atletico Madrid79.2
Sevilla37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Atletico Madrid91.7
Sevilla30
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Atletico Madrid62.5
Sevilla12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Atletico Madrid35
Sevilla90
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Atletico Madrid80
Sevilla42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Atletico Madrid68.1
Sevilla40
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.4 goals/match
0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.2 shots/match▲Shots5/59.2 shots/match
5.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.6 shots/match
45.4%Possession5/549.2%
5.6 corners/matchCorners5/56.6 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards5/53.4 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls5/515 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.5 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.9 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.3 shots/match
5.7 shots/match▲Shots on target10/102.8 shots/match
52.4%Possession10/1052.8%
6.6 corners/matchCorners10/105 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards10/103.3 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1015.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

11 / 11 matches
1.91 goals/match▲Goals scored11/111.55 goals/match
0.91 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/111.73 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.1 shots/match▲Shots11/1110.5 shots/match
5.55 shots/match▲Shots on target11/113.09 shots/match
53.1%Possession11/1152.9%
6.27 corners/matchCorners11/114.64 corners/match
2.09 cards/matchCards11/113.18 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls11/1115.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 6 matches
2.5 goals/match▲Goals scored6/61.33 goals/match
0.83 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/61.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.5 shots/match▲Shots6/69 shots/match
6.5 shots/match▲Shots on target6/62.83 shots/match
53.8%Possession6/649.3%
7.67 corners/matchCorners6/64.17 corners/match
1.83 cards/matchCards6/63 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls6/614.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.84 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Nov 2025, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsAtletico MadridSevilla
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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