PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sat, 1 Nov 2025, 17:30 UTCFull timeReale ArenaFull-time recap
3–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricReal SociedadAthletic Club
Shots9 shots/match11 shots/match▲
Shots on target5 shots/match▲4 shots/match
Possession51%49%
Corners6 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls20 fouls/match8 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Sociedad's last-five shots average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Real Sociedad's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Sociedad's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9.6 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9.6 shots/match13.2 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.82 corners/match▲CornersReal Sociedad · Athletic Club5.45 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricReal SociedadAthletic ClubBaseline
Corners6.82 corners/match5.45 corners/match4.81 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Real Sociedad favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Athletic Club in 4 · 6 too close

1.18 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 11/111 goals/match
1.45 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 11/11▲1.18 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13.2 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 11/1112.4 shots/match
12.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 11/11▲9.27 shots/match
4.45 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 11/114 shots/match
3.73 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 11/113.55 shots/match
51.7%Possessionseason · 11/1151.4%
6.82 corners/matchCornersseason · 11/115.45 corners/match
4.45 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 11/114.36 corners/match
2.18 cards/matchCardsseason · 11/11▲1.91 cards/match
16.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/1113.5 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
9%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/11▲18%
82%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 11/1155%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Sociedad62.5
Athletic Club52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Sociedad65.8
Athletic Club45
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Sociedad49.2
Athletic Club76.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Sociedad67.5
Athletic Club57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Sociedad72.5
Athletic Club47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Sociedad92.5
Athletic Club67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Sociedad82.5
Athletic Club63.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲11.2 shots/match
4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.6 shots/match
45.2%Possession5/549.4%
5 corners/matchCorners5/53.4 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match
16.8 fouls/matchFouls5/514 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.8 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.2 shots/match▲Shots10/1012.2 shots/match
4.6 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.1 shots/match
52.3%Possession10/1051.9%
6.8 corners/matchCorners10/105 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards10/102.1 cards/match
16.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

11 / 11 matches
1.18 goals/match▲Goals scored11/111 goals/match
1.45 goals/matchGoals allowed11/11▲1.18 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.2 shots/match▲Shots11/1112.4 shots/match
4.45 shots/match▲Shots on target11/114 shots/match
51.7%Possession11/1151.4%
6.82 corners/matchCorners11/115.45 corners/match
2.18 cards/matchCards11/111.91 cards/match
16.3 fouls/matchFouls11/1113.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 5 matches
1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored6/50.8 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed6/51.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.2 shots/match▲Shots6/511.4 shots/match
4.33 shots/match▲Shots on target6/54 shots/match
55.3%Possession6/548.8%
7 corners/matchCorners6/55 corners/match
1.67 cards/matchCards6/52.6 cards/match
16.3 fouls/matchFouls6/512.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.94 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.04 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Nov 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsReal SociedadAthletic Club
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match