UEFA Champions League · 2025Wed, 5 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeSt James' ParkFull-time recap

Newcastle United

LWW

2–0Full-time recap

Athletic Club

LLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Newcastle United	Athletic Club
Shots	8 shots/match	12 shots/match▲
Shots on target	4 shots/match	5 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.2 xG/match▲	0.58 xG/match
Possession	59%	41%
Corners	2 corners/match	5 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Newcastle United: 8 shots, 4 on target, 1.19 xG. Athletic Club: 12 shots, 5 on target, 0.57 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Newcastle United 1.19 xG · Athletic Club 0.57 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Newcastle United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Newcastle United show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Newcastle United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.5 shots/match▲ShotsNewcastle United · Athletic Club12.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Newcastle United	Athletic Club	Baseline
Shots	12.5 shots/match	12.5 shots/match	13.5 shots/match
Shots against	13.8 shots/match	10.3 shots/match	13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Newcastle United favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Athletic Club in 0 · 14 too close

2.5 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/41 goals/match

0.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/42.25 goals/match

2.06 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41.34 xG/match

0.78 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/41.02 xG/match

12.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/412.5 shots/match

13.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/410.3 shots/match

6.5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/43.75 shots/match

4.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/45.5 shots/match

51%Possessionseason · 4/446.8%

6.25 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/43.75 corners/match

6 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/42.75 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/415 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

75%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/40%

100%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/450%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Newcastle United57.1

Athletic Club34.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Newcastle United66.3

Athletic Club31.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Newcastle United65.1

Athletic Club42.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Newcastle United39.3

Athletic Club51.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Newcastle United54.8

Athletic Club84.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Newcastle United86.9

Athletic Club25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Newcastle United64

Athletic Club44.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

4 / 4 matches

2.5 goals/match▲Goals scored4/41 goals/match

0.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/42.25 goals/match

2.06 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.34 xG/match

12.5 shots/matchShots4/412.5 shots/match

6.5 shots/match▲Shots on target4/43.75 shots/match

51%Possession4/446.8%

6.25 corners/matchCorners4/43.75 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.5 fouls/matchFouls4/415 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

4 / 4 matches

2.5 goals/match▲Goals scored4/41 goals/match

0.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/42.25 goals/match

2.06 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.34 xG/match

12.5 shots/matchShots4/412.5 shots/match

6.5 shots/match▲Shots on target4/43.75 shots/match

51%Possession4/446.8%

6.25 corners/matchCorners4/43.75 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.5 fouls/matchFouls4/415 fouls/match

Window

Season

4 / 4 matches

2.5 goals/match▲Goals scored4/41 goals/match

0.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/42.25 goals/match

2.06 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.34 xG/match

12.5 shots/matchShots4/412.5 shots/match

6.5 shots/match▲Shots on target4/43.75 shots/match

51%Possession4/446.8%

6.25 corners/matchCorners4/43.75 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.5 fouls/matchFouls4/415 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 2 matches

2 goals/matchGoals scored3/2—

0.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/2—

1.82 xG/matchExpected goals3/2—

12.3 shots/matchShots3/2—

6.67 shots/matchShots on target3/2—

49%Possession3/2—

6.67 corners/matchCorners3/2—

—Cards0/0—

12.7 fouls/matchFouls3/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

15 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114.1 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples4 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Thu, 6 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4