La Liga · 2025Sun, 9 Nov 2025, 13:00 UTCFull timeSan MamésFull-time recap

Athletic Club

LWDLL

1–0Full-time recap

Oviedo

WLLDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Athletic Club	Oviedo
Shots	21 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Shots on target	7 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Possession	48%	52%
Corners	7 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	8 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match	1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Oviedo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Oviedo show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Oviedo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.1 shots/match▲ShotsAthletic Club · Oviedo8.42 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Athletic Club	Oviedo	Baseline
Shots	13.1 shots/match	8.42 shots/match	12 shots/match
Shots against	8.83 shots/match	17.1 shots/match	12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Athletic Club favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Oviedo in 0 · 4 too close

1 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 12/120.58 goals/match

1.08 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 12/121.67 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

13.1 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 12/128.42 shots/match

8.83 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 12/1217.1 shots/match

4.25 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 12/122.92 shots/match

3.42 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 12/126.83 shots/match

51.1%Possessionseason · 12/1243.6%

5.58 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/123.58 corners/match

4.33 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 12/126.5 corners/match

1.83 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 12/122.67 cards/match

13.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1211.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/1217%

58%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 12/1233%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Athletic Club52.5

Oviedo17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Athletic Club52.5

Oviedo5.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Athletic Club83.3

Oviedo9.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Athletic Club57.5

Oviedo7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Athletic Club48.8

Oviedo62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Athletic Club72.5

Oviedo17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Athletic Club67.5

Oviedo17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

12.2 shots/match▲Shots5/59.6 shots/match

4.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53 shots/match

47.4%Possession5/551.6%

3.8 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match

2.6 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match

14.2 fouls/matchFouls5/512 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

0.8 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.7 goals/match

1.1 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.5 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

13.2 shots/match▲Shots10/109 shots/match

4.4 shots/match▲Shots on target10/102.8 shots/match

52.6%Possession10/1045.6%

5.4 corners/matchCorners10/104.1 corners/match

2.2 cards/matchCards10/102.7 cards/match

14 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

12 / 12 matches

1 goals/match▲Goals scored12/120.58 goals/match

1.08 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/121.67 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

13.1 shots/match▲Shots12/128.42 shots/match

4.25 shots/match▲Shots on target12/122.92 shots/match

51.1%Possession12/1243.6%

5.58 corners/matchCorners12/123.58 corners/match

1.83 cards/matchCards12/122.67 cards/match

13.4 fouls/matchFouls12/1211.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 6 matches

1.14 goals/match▲Goals scored7/60.83 goals/match

0.86 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/61.67 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

14.3 shots/match▲Shots7/67.67 shots/match

4.43 shots/match▲Shots on target7/63.33 shots/match

52.7%Possession7/642.2%

6 corners/matchCorners7/63.17 corners/match

1.29 cards/matchCards7/63.33 cards/match

14.3 fouls/matchFouls7/613.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.81 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.71 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples12 / 12home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Nov 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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