PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Mon, 3 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeEstadio Nuevo Carlos TartiereFull-time recap

Oviedo

LWLLD
0–0Full-time recap

Osasuna

DLWLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricOviedoOsasuna
Shots8 shots/match11 shots/match▲
Shots on target2 shots/match5 shots/match▲
Possession53%47%
Corners4 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls17 fouls/match17 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Oviedo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Osasuna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Oviedo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Oviedo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.64 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goals/match0.64 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Osasuna have a visible away split

moderate

Osasuna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.33 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season9.82 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.33 shots/match9.82 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Oviedo favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Osasuna in 10 · 4 too close

0.64 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 11/11▲0.82 goals/match
1.73 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 11/11▲1.09 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
8.82 shots/matchShotsseason · 11/11▲9.82 shots/match
16.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 11/11▲13.1 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 11/11▲3.36 shots/match
6.82 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 11/11▲4.73 shots/match
42.8%Possessionseason · 11/1146%
3.55 corners/matchCornersseason · 11/112.36 corners/match
6.45 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 11/11▲4.55 corners/match
2.82 cards/matchCardsseason · 11/11▲2.18 cards/match
12.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/1112.6 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
18%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/11▲27%
36%Scoring frequencyseason · 11/11▲55%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Oviedo17.5
Osasuna32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Oviedo7.5
Osasuna16.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Oviedo11.7
Osasuna46.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Oviedo17.5
Osasuna27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Oviedo70
Osasuna50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Oviedo17.5
Osasuna2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Oviedo21.2
Osasuna24.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.8 shots/matchShots5/511.2 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.6 shots/match
49.8%Possession5/551.2%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/53 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls5/511.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.7 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲0.9 goals/match
1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.2 shots/matchShots10/10▲10.6 shots/match
2.9 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲3.7 shots/match
43.9%Possession10/1047.7%
3.8 corners/matchCorners10/102.6 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards10/102.3 cards/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

11 / 11 matches
0.64 goals/matchGoals scored11/11▲0.82 goals/match
1.73 goals/matchGoals allowed11/11▲1.09 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8.82 shots/matchShots11/11▲9.82 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target11/11▲3.36 shots/match
42.8%Possession11/1146%
3.55 corners/matchCorners11/112.36 corners/match
2.82 cards/matchCards11/112.18 cards/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls11/1112.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 6 matches
0.33 goals/match▲Goals scored6/60.17 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲1.17 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.17 shots/match▲Shots6/68.33 shots/match
2.5 shots/match▲Shots on target6/62.33 shots/match
45%Possession6/642.5%
4 corners/matchCorners6/62 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards6/62.17 cards/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls6/612 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

9.33 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.1 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 4 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsOviedoOsasuna
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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